Colgate vs. Holy Cross: Final Score, Recap & Advanced Stats

Colgate0-1

Holy Cross0-1

▸

Final

Fitton FieldConference game

	1	2	3	4	T
COLG	7	0	0	0	7
HOLY	7	19	14	7	47

COLGTeam statsHOLY

280Total yards507

137Pass190

143Rush317

16First downs25

7-163rd down5-9

2Turnovers0

32:41Possession27:19

Q4 13:02HOLYJordan Fuller 5 Yd Run (Luis Palenzuela Kick)7–47
Q3 4:44HOLYJustin Shorter 37 Yd pass from Matthew Sluka (Luis Palenzuela Kick)7–40
Q3 11:59HOLYJalen Coker 6 Yd pass from Matthew Sluka (Luis Palenzuela Kick)7–33
Q2 0:26HOLYJalen Coker 2 Yd pass from Matthew Sluka (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)7–26
Q2 4:30HOLYJustin Shorter 24 Yd pass from Matthew Sluka (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)7–20
Q2 11:54HOLYJordan Fuller 1 Yd Run (Luis Palenzuela Kick)7–14
Q1 3:45COLGMichael Brescia 8 Yd Run (Jacob Jaworski Kick)7–7
Q1 12:44HOLYTyler Purdy 41 Yd Run (Luis Palenzuela Kick)0–7

How the model called it

Market line

HOLY −31

Against the number

HOLY covered

line HOLY −31

Kickoff150 plays →Final

Tap or hover on the chart to see play details

HOLY (top)COLG (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: HOLY 100%

Closing line

HOLY −31

Closing total

55.0

Model line

—

Actual result

COLG 7 – 47 HOLY

Colgate

PassMichael Brescia 17/27, 125 YDS, 1 INT
RushZach Osborne 6 CAR, 44 YDS
RecTreyvhon Saunders 4 REC, 46 YDS

Holy Cross

PassMatthew Sluka 16/26, 186 YDS, 4 TD
RushJordan Fuller 15 CAR, 121 YDS, 2 TD
RecJustin Shorter 7 REC, 112 YDS, 2 TD

25.4sper snap · in line with the national 24.5s

fastnational avgslow

Snaps run

141

Points / snap

0.38

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

HOLY up 33 entering the 4th quarter. Across 455 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):

100%

HOLY went on to win

A near-lock historically

Most comparable games

WToledo vs Eastern Michigan49-30 WNotre Dame vs Stanford56-23 WSouth Dakota State vs Southern Illinois41-10 WTexas Tech vs West Virginia52-15 WWashington vs California59-32

FAQ

What was the final score of Colgate vs. Holy Cross?

Colgate 7, Holy Cross 47.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Yes — the model's pick (HOLY) was correct.

COLG

HOLY

39%

Success rate

50%

-0.14

EPA / pass

0.66

0.06

EPA / rush

0.22

37%

Early-down success

48%

34%

Pass success

47%

44%

Rush success

53%

Explosive play rate (15+ yds)

19%

25%

Stuffed rush rate

26%

49%

Pass rate

46%

6.9

Avg 3rd-down distance

6.7

COLG

6.9 yards to go on 3rd down

71 scrimmage snaps

HOLY

6.7 yards to go on 3rd down

70 scrimmage snaps

COLG		HOLY
280	Total yards	507
137	Passing yards	190
143	Rushing yards	317
16	First downs	25
7-16	3rd down	5-9
2-4	4th down	1-2
19/32	Comp/Att	17/27
4.3	Yards per pass	7.0
3.9	Yards per rush	8.1
2	Turnovers	0
9-72	Penalties	1-15
32:41	Possession	27:19

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →

COLGTeam statsHOLY

Scoring plays

How the model called it

Win probability

How the line closed

Leaders

Tempo

This exact spot, historically

Fourth downs

FAQ

What was the final score of Colgate vs. Holy Cross?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Situational splits

Team stats

Fourth downs

Drive chart

Scoring plays

Model prediction

Colgate vs. Holy Cross: Final Score & Recap

COLGTeam statsHOLY

How the model called it

What was the final score of Colgate vs. Holy Cross?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?