#7Teriyon Gipson

RB·New Mexico·20163.8 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Teriyon Gipson is a Explosive Back for New Mexico. Teriyon's 2016 season ranks in the 90th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 149 plays — a elite rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Teriyon Gipson's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2016 Production

Rushing

1269 Rush yards13 Rush TD145 Carries8.8 Yards/carry

Receiving

9 Receptions80 Rec yards1 Rec TD8.9 Yards/rec

Returns

5 Kick returns127 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2016 · vs RB peers

Efficiency90
Volume61
Explosiveness100
Consistency77
Receiving52

Player type

Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)90th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency77th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among RBs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸7 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.60 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 1.64 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs South Dakota.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Travis Etienne	Clemson	2019	213	0.470	4.7	100.1
Clyde Edwards-Helaire	LSU	2019	216	0.490	5.0	105.8
Devon Johnson	Marshall	2014	208	0.520	6.0	108.2
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2017	240	0.410	5.2	98.4
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2015	228	0.450	5.8	102.6

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsSouth Dakota	W48-21	—	8	181	22.6	2	1	7	0	1.64
2	@New Mexico State	L31-32	-17.2	12	62	5.2	2	4	28	0	0.67
5	vsSan José State	W48-41	-13.6	11	156	14.2	1	—	—	—	0.70
7	vsAir Force	W45-40	4.4	9	140	15.6	1	1	12	1	1.33
8	vsUL Monroe	W59-17	-21.3	8	84	10.5	1	—	—	—	0.65
9	@Hawai'i	W28-21	-10.1	17	73	4.3	1	2	15	0	0.34
10	vsNevada	W35-26	-13.0	20	121	6.1	0	—	—	—	0.14
11	@Utah State	W24-21	-4.4	18	107	5.9	2	—	—	—	0.60
12	@Colorado State	L31-49	0.8	15	68	4.5	0	—	—	—	0.05
13	vsWyoming	W56-35	-6.9	13	217	16.7	2	—	—	—	1.25
1	vsUTSA	W23-20	-11.2	14	60	4.3	1	1	18	0	-0.02

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

21.2%

Passing plays

6.1%

Rushing plays

25.6%

Standard downs

22.2%

Passing downs

18.7%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.59
Passing downs: 0.51
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.94 / 0.55

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2016 · 11 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.