#3Skyler Howard

QB·West Virginia·2016 20154.2 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Skyler Howard is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for West Virginia. Skyler's 2015 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 503 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Skyler Howard's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2015 Production

Passing

221/403 Comp/Att3145 Pass yards26 Pass TD14 INT54.8% Comp %

Rushing

502 Rush yards6 Rush TD157 Carries3.2 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2015 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume100
Dual-Threat71
Consistency73
Clutch78

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency73th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 0.55 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Liberty.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsGeorgia Southern	W44-0	7.3	16/25	359	2	0	87.6	7	0	0.44
2	vsLiberty	W41-17	—	21/26	263	3	0	82.6	68	0	0.55
4	vsMaryland	W45-6	-1.6	21/33	294	4	1	90.5	13	0	0.23
5	@Oklahoma	L24-44	22.7	17/32	173	1	3	29.1	13	1	0.11
6	vsOklahoma State	L26-33	9.9	18/35	188	1	1	16.8	47	1	0.04
7	@Baylor	L38-62	19.5	18/37	289	4	1	65.4	41	0	0.28
9	@TCU	L10-40	19.0	16/39	160	1	1	30.1	40	0	-0.18
10	vsTexas Tech	W31-26	4.5	12/23	149	0	2	25.9	27	1	0.13
11	vsTexas	W38-20	3.7	10/12	122	2	1	68.4	34	1	0.44
12	@Kansas	W49-0	-21.3	13/22	133	1	1	92.1	129	1	0.54
13	vsIowa State	W30-6	-0.3	12/26	202	1	1	66.5	73	1	0.19
14	@Kansas State	L23-24	2.6	19/42	281	1	0	28.8	-13	0	-0.05
1	vsArizona State	W43-42	10.2	28/51	532	5	2	66.1	23	0	0.43

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

52.3%

Passing plays

94.1%

Rushing plays

21.7%

Standard downs

47.8%

Passing downs

63.1%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.19
Passing downs: 0.38
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.25 / 0.25

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2015 — 2016 · 26 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2015	West Virginia	4.2	0.336	—	200.8
2016	West Virginia	6.4	0.407	+0.07	216.3

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.