Scores
Dev
← Player leaders
Seth Henigan

#9Seth Henigan

Line value
4.8 pts
NFL Draft OutlookDay 3 (Rds 4–7)· model estimate based on position rank

Seth Henigan is a 4-year Dual-Threat QB for Memphis. Seth's 2024 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 541 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

2024 Production

Passing
309/477 Comp/Att3502 Pass yards25 Pass TD6 INT64.8% Comp %
Rushing
190 Rush yards1 Rush TD80 Carries2.4 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

EfficiencyVolumeDual-ThreatConsistencyClutch
Player type
Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency84th %ile · above avg
Career trajectory:→ Stable
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.15 from the first to second half of the season.
  • Peak game: 0.72 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs West Virginia (SP+ 2).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs North Alabama: +0.56 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Troy: +0.23 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Florida State: +0.30 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Navy: +0.25 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Middle Tennessee: +0.12 EPA/play5Wk 7 vs South Florida: +0.13 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs North Texas: +0.38 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Charlotte: +0.19 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs UTSA: +0.31 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Rice: +0.21 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs UAB: +0.63 EPA/play12Wk 14 vs Tulane: +0.42 EPA/play14Wk 1 vs West Virginia: +0.72 EPA/play1
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
1vsNorth AlabamaW40-022/303082084.0000.56
2vsTroyW38-17-6.620/301611082.82400.23
3@Florida StateW20-12-3.225/382722171.1-700.30
4@NavyL44-563.532/563712153.22900.25
5vsMiddle TennesseeW24-7-24.426/412270038.61400.12
7vsSouth FloridaW21-3-2.328/402082153.02600.13
8vsNorth TexasW52-44-4.524/383191052.4910.38
9vsCharlotteW33-28-15.320/322122140.9-1000.19
10@UTSAL36-442.235/524544149.2800.31
11vsRiceW27-20-11.414/311591136.91800.21
12vsUABW53-18-11.323/342994063.2800.63
14@TulaneW34-245.722/292182080.21000.42
1vsWest VirginiaW42-372.118/262942090.26100.72

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
60.2%
Passing plays
99.8%
Rushing plays
14.3%
Standard downs
52.9%
Passing downs
77.5%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.21
Passing downs
0.52
Pass / Rush EPA
0.34 / 0.30

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
202220232024
2021 — 2024 · 50 games
SeasonTeamLine valueWEPA/playYoY ΔTotal EPA
2021Memphis
7.6
0.500229.5
2022Memphis
3.3
0.340-0.16200.8
2023Memphis
9.9
0.519+0.18288.8
2024Memphis
4.8
0.373-0.15203.6

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.