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Randy Pittman

#5Randy Pittman

Randy Pittman is a Slot Specialist TE for Florida State. Randy's 2025 season produced 24.4 total EPA across 41 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · TEs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.42
    Beats guessing the TE average by 9%. n=2,225 TE seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.04
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=2,016 TE seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.46
    Beats guessing the TE average by 13%. n=2,016 TE seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Randy Pittman's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Receiving
23 Receptions208 Rec yards2 Rec TD9.0 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs TE peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume19
  • Explosiveness14
  • Consistency82
  • Pass-Down100
Player type
Slot Specialist TE

The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.

3rd-down converterRoute technicianHigh passing-down share
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency82th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among TEs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Peak game: 1.66 EPA/play in Wk 10 vs Wake Forest (SP+ 6).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · TE · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Ty ThompsonTulane0.4200.720.2
Seth GreenMinnesota0.3900.032.4
Johnny LanganRutgers0.3000.017.7
Evan SvobodaWyoming0.2900.521.8
Jordan MyersRice0.2700.215.9

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+1.6601.66Wk 1 vs Alabama: +1.26 EPA/play1Wk 5 vs Virginia: +1.26 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Miami: +0.19 EPA/play6Wk 8 vs Stanford: +0.26 EPA/play8Wk 10 vs Wake Forest: +1.66 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Clemson: +1.04 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Virginia Tech: +0.27 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs NC State: +0.60 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Florida: +0.94 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1vsAlabamaW31-1714.82189.00141.26
5@VirginiaL38-4611.12168.01111.26
6vsMiamiL22-2820.77395.61150.19
8@StanfordL13-20-11.83248.00120.26
10vsWake ForestW42-75.723216.00301.66
11@ClemsonL10-249.524723.50351.04
12vsVirginia TechW34-14-10.1177.0070.27
13@NC StateL11-214.82115.5060.60
14@FloridaL21-403.52147.0090.94

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
6.5%
Passing plays
12.6%
Rushing plays
1.5%
Standard downs
4.7%
Passing downs
10.1%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.36
Passing downs
0.82
Pass / Rush EPA
0.55 / 0.90

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.