#3Rachaad White

RB·Arizona State·20212.5 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Rachaad White is a Pass-Catching Back for Arizona State. Rachaad's 2021 season ranks in the 40th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 200 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Rachaad White's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2021 Production

Rushing

1006 Rush yards15 Rush TD182 Carries5.5 Yards/carry

Receiving

43 Receptions456 Rec yards1 Rec TD10.6 Yards/rec

Returns

1 Kick returns25 KR yards0 KR TD1 Punt returns36 PR yards0 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2021 · vs RB peers

Efficiency40
Volume88
Explosiveness50
Consistency75
Receiving91

Player type

Pass-Catching Back

Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.

3rd-down backReceiving threatPass protection

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)40th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency75th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used RBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.11 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.93 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Southern Utah.

NIL Market Tier· 2021

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Travis Etienne	Clemson	2019	213	0.470	4.7	100.1
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
James Flanders	Tulsa	2016	266	0.390	4.9	103.7
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2017	240	0.410	5.2	98.4

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsSouthern Utah	W41-14	—	7	64	9.1	2	1	11	0	0.93
2	vsUNLV	W37-10	-13.8	22	90	4.1	2	5	41	0	0.19
3	@BYU	L17-27	8.9	15	71	4.7	1	9	65	0	0.13
4	vsColorado	W35-13	-10.0	11	37	3.4	1	5	70	1	0.32
5	@UCLA	W42-23	9.4	9	69	7.7	2	3	38	0	0.64
6	vsStanford	W28-10	-10.2	13	96	7.4	1	1	1	0	-0.08
7	@Utah	L21-35	15.2	9	56	6.2	0	3	25	0	0.15
10	vsUSC	W31-16	-0.6	28	202	7.2	3	2	35	0	0.49
11	@Washington	W35-30	-0.7	32	184	5.8	2	5	53	0	0.68
12	@Oregon State	L10-24	8.9	15	39	2.6	0	6	86	0	0.15
13	vsArizona	W38-15	-12.6	21	98	4.7	1	3	31	0	0.19

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

30.7%

Passing plays

15.3%

Rushing plays

41.0%

Standard downs

34.1%

Passing downs

21.9%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.23
Passing downs: 0.86
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.71 / 0.27

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2021 · 11 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.