#9Quinton Flowers

QB·South Florida·2017 2016 20158.0 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Quinton Flowers is a 3-year Dual-Threat QB for South Florida. Quinton's 2017 season ranks in the 28th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 534 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Quinton Flowers's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2017 Production

Passing

188/354 Comp/Att2911 Pass yards25 Pass TD6 INT53.1% Comp %

Rushing

1078 Rush yards11 Rush TD196 Carries5.5 Yards/carry

Returns

1 Kick returns20 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2017 · vs QB peers

Efficiency28
Volume100
Dual-Threat87
Consistency81
Clutch100

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)28th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency81th %ile · above avg

Career trajectory:→ Stable

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.16 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.60 EPA/play in Wk 10 vs UConn (SP+ -19).

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Jordan Travis	Florida State	2021	690	0.476	10.1	328.3
Kyle McCord	Syracuse	2024	632	0.509	12.1	321.4
Sam Hartman	Wake Forest	2021	647	0.556	11.8	359.6
Stetson Bennett	Georgia	2022	509	0.635	12.5	323.0
Trace McSorley	Penn State	2017	626	0.513	12.7	321.0

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsStony Brook	W31-17	—	19/32	186	2	1	41.7	67	0	0.06
1	@San José State	W42-22	-20.0	11/22	212	2	0	73.5	70	1	0.06
3	vsIllinois	W47-23	-7.4	15/27	280	4	1	68.5	106	1	0.37
4	vsTemple	W43-7	0.5	8/20	96	0	0	23.4	59	2	0.09
5	@East Carolina	W61-31	-14.0	10/18	160	2	0	97.1	93	1	0.52
7	vsCincinnati	W33-3	-6.4	16/29	184	0	0	62.1	80	1	0.28
8	@Tulane	W34-28	-5.7	10/24	127	2	1	94.5	138	1	0.40
9	vsHouston	L24-28	7.7	23/38	325	0	0	47.5	7	2	0.34
10	@UConn	W37-20	-19.2	24/37	385	3	1	95.3	131	0	0.60
12	vsTulsa	W27-20	-10.7	11/28	142	2	1	48.4	119	0	0.03
13	@UCF	L42-49	14.1	24/45	503	4	1	83.8	102	1	0.56
1	vsTexas Tech	W38-34	4.8	17/34	311	4	0	89.8	106	1	0.38

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

53.6%

Passing plays

96.3%

Rushing plays

29.3%

Standard downs

44.2%

Passing downs

73.5%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.21
Passing downs: 0.52
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.35 / 0.34

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2015 — 2017 · 37 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2015	South Florida	6.1	0.410	—	194.8
2016	South Florida	11.4	0.552	+0.14	270.8
2017	South Florida	8.0	0.430	-0.12	228.1

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.