#24Nykahi Davenport

RB·South Florida·2025

Nykahi Davenport is a Committee Back for South Florida. Nykahi's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 81 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Nykahi Davenport's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing

612 Rush yards7 Rush TD98 Carries6.2 Yards/carry

Receiving

5 Receptions50 Rec yards0 Rec TD10.0 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

Efficiency0
Volume35
Explosiveness64
Consistency0
Receiving21

Player type

Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.15 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.78 EPA/play in Wk 4 vs South Carolina State.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
3	@Miami	L12-49	20.7	2	-2	-1.0	0	—	—	—	-0.84
4	vsSouth Carolina State	W63-14	—	4	52	13.0	1	—	—	—	0.78
6	vsCharlotte	W54-26	-26.7	15	79	5.3	1	—	—	—	0.24
7	@North Texas	W63-36	13.8	7	36	5.1	0	—	—	—	-0.09
8	vsFlorida Atlantic	W48-13	-8.7	14	71	5.1	1	—	—	—	0.26
9	@Memphis	L31-34	7.6	7	67	9.6	0	—	—	—	-0.15
11	vsUTSA	W55-23	3.7	7	94	13.4	2	1	11	0	0.31
12	@Navy	L38-41	6.2	7	28	4.0	0	1	11	0	0.10
13	@UAB	W48-18	-15.8	17	121	7.1	1	—	—	—	0.24
14	vsRice	W52-3	-14.8	11	57	5.2	1	1	15	0	0.23
20	vsOld Dominion	L10-24	5.9	7	9	1.3	0	2	13	0	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

12.3%

Passing plays

1.4%

Rushing plays

21.5%

Standard downs

13.5%

Passing downs

9.0%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.10
Passing downs: 0.21
Pass / Rush EPA: 1.01 / 0.06

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).