Miles Davis

RB·Utah State·2025

Miles Davis is a Explosive Back for Utah State. Miles's 2025 season ranks in the 70th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 152 plays — a average rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Miles Davis's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing

732 Rush yards8 Rush TD131 Carries5.6 Yards/carry

Receiving

28 Receptions201 Rec yards3 Rec TD7.2 Yards/rec

Returns

4 Kick returns68 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

Efficiency70
Volume51
Explosiveness52
Consistency56
Receiving66

Player type

Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)70th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency56th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.30 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.67 EPA/play in Wk 4 vs McNeese.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
Travis Etienne	Clemson	2019	213	0.470	4.7	100.1
James Flanders	Tulsa	2016	266	0.390	4.9	103.7
Breece Hall	Iowa State	2020	301	0.340	4.5	102.3

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsUTEP	W28-16	-17.5	12	88	7.3	1	6	61	0	0.26
2	@Texas A&M	L22-44	20.7	10	50	5.0	0	3	9	2	0.63
3	vsAir Force	W49-30	-3.2	9	54	6.0	0	—	—	—	0.07
4	vsMcNeese	W48-7	—	13	118	9.1	1	5	39	0	0.67
5	@Vanderbilt	L35-55	20.3	6	4	0.7	0	2	19	1	-0.12
7	@Hawai'i	L26-44	1.7	15	102	6.8	1	3	12	0	0.37
8	vsSan José State	W30-25	-14.3	10	50	5.0	0	—	—	—	0.36
9	@New Mexico	L14-33	0.9	10	110	11.0	1	2	3	0	0.28
11	vsNevada	W51-14	-13.4	11	33	3.0	2	—	—	—	0.02
12	@UNLV	L26-29	4.3	10	42	4.2	1	2	14	0	0.19
13	@Fresno State	W28-17	1.8	12	38	3.2	0	1	5	0	-0.19
14	vsBoise State	L24-25	3.1	8	36	4.5	1	1	4	0	-0.24
20	vsWashington State	L21-34	3.8	5	7	1.4	0	3	35	0	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

17.9%

Passing plays

6.5%

Rushing plays

30.7%

Standard downs

21.3%

Passing downs

11.1%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.15
Passing downs: 0.64
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.74 / 0.13

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).