#3Mavin Anderson

WR·California·2024

Mavin Anderson is a Slot Specialist WR for California.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Mavin Anderson's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Receiving

14 Receptions99 Rec yards0 Rec TD7.1 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs WR peers

Efficiency88
Volume9
Explosiveness0
Consistency8
Pass-Down0

Player type

Slot Specialist WR

The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.

3rd-down converterRoute technicianHigh passing-down share

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)88th %ile · above avg

Game-to-game consistency8th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Above-average efficiency for the WR position (88th percentile).
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.43 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 1.77 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs UC Davis.

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Keytaon Thompson	Virginia	2021	41	0.370	0.6	15.2
Dane Kinamon	Air Force	2021	39	0.410	0.7	16.0
Micah Davis	Air Force	2021	44	0.370	0.6	16.3
Keytaon Thompson	Virginia	2020	39	0.320	0.4	12.5
Cade Harris	Air Force	2024	45	0.330	0.5	14.8

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Long	EPA/play
1	vsUC Davis	W31-13	—	4	34	8.5	19	1.77
2	@Auburn	W21-14	9.5	4	31	7.8	12	0.78
3	vsSan Diego State	W31-10	-15.4	1	5	5.0	5	-1.10
6	vsMiami	L38-39	21.6	1	5	5.0	5	0.04
7	@Pittsburgh	L15-17	4.9	3	12	4.0	9	0.06
20	vsUNLV	L13-24	9.3	1	12	12.0	12	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

3.0%

Passing plays

5.7%

Rushing plays

0.0%

Standard downs

2.2%

Passing downs

4.5%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 1.13
Passing downs: -0.23
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.39 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).