#3Malik Cunningham

QB·Louisville·2021 2020 20199.1 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Malik Cunningham is a 3-year Dual-Threat QB for Louisville. Malik's 2019 season ranks in the 83th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 295 plays — a above-average rate for the QB. Malik's production has improved each season, a positive development trajectory.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Malik Cunningham's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2019 Production

Passing

112/179 Comp/Att2065 Pass yards22 Pass TD5 INT62.6% Comp %

Rushing

482 Rush yards6 Rush TD122 Carries4.0 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2019 · vs QB peers

Efficiency83
Volume100
Dual-Threat77
Consistency74
Clutch100

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)83th %ile · above avg

Game-to-game consistency74th %ile · average

Career trajectory:↑ Rising

Key findings

▸Above-average efficiency for the QB position (83th percentile).
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸Career trajectory is upward — WEPA value has improved season over season.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸7 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.29 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 1.67 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Eastern Kentucky.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
2	vsEastern Kentucky	W42-0	—	1/1	24	0	0	100.0	73	1	1.67
3	vsWestern Kentucky	W38-21	1.7	9/14	123	2	0	69.5	46	0	0.28
4	@Florida State	L24-35	1.8	16/27	286	2	1	44.5	5	1	0.25
6	vsBoston College	W41-39	-5.7	13/18	288	1	0	94.0	43	1	1.03
7	@Wake Forest	W62-59	2.0	5/6	99	2	0	99.1	59	0	1.38
8	vsClemson	L10-45	28.1	4/11	63	0	1	4.8	-10	0	-0.18
9	vsVirginia	W28-21	6.3	6/10	126	1	0	96.4	97	1	0.64
11	@Miami	L27-52	9.6	12/18	219	2	1	—	-8	1	0.35
12	@NC State	W34-20	-6.3	13/20	242	4	0	—	9	0	0.44
13	vsSyracuse	W56-34	-3.0	11/20	238	5	1	—	60	1	0.70
14	@Kentucky	L13-45	9.1	6/11	78	1	1	—	27	0	0.12
1	vsMississippi State	W38-28	3.5	16/23	279	2	0	—	81	0	0.41

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

37.5%

Passing plays

65.8%

Rushing plays

20.1%

Standard downs

32.8%

Passing downs

46.4%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.27
Passing downs: 0.69
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.53 / 0.28

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2019 — 2021 · 36 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2019	Louisville	9.1	0.639	—	207.2
2020	Louisville	7.9	0.472	-0.17	217.8
2021	Louisville	14.7	0.681	+0.21	341.6

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.