#8Jaylen Sargent

WR·Wyoming·2025

Jaylen Sargent is a Versatile WR for Wyoming. Jaylen's 2025 season produced 7.2 total EPA across 41 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jaylen Sargent's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Receiving

20 Receptions240 Rec yards0 Rec TD12.0 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

Efficiency67
Volume16
Explosiveness33
Consistency0
Pass-Down8

Player type

Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)67th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.46 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 1.34 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Northern Iowa.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Amare Jones	Tulane	2020	71	0.180	0.0	12.8
Brandon Chatman	Navy	2025	52	0.230	0.6	12.0
Tyler Buchner	Notre Dame	2021	51	0.250	0.3	12.8
Justin Lynch	Temple	2021	63	0.240	0.3	15.1
Samajie Grant	Arizona	2016	62	0.250	0.3	15.5

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Long	EPA/play
2	vsNorthern Iowa	W31-7	—	2	26	13.0	14	1.34
3	vsUtah	L6-31	22.2	1	7	7.0	7	-0.46
6	vsUNLV	L17-31	4.3	4	55	13.8	29	0.12
7	vsSan José State	W35-28	-14.3	3	39	13.0	26	0.62
8	@Air Force	L21-24	-3.2	5	65	13.0	29	0.76
9	vsColorado State	W28-0	-15.6	3	34	11.3	22	-0.01
10	@San Diego State	L7-24	6.7	1	1	1.0	1	-0.80
14	@Hawai'i	L7-27	1.7	1	13	13.0	13	-0.16

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

5.6%

Passing plays

10.8%

Rushing plays

0.3%

Standard downs

5.6%

Passing downs

5.8%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.27
Passing downs: 0.02
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.17 / 0.49

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).