#24Jariel Cobb

RB·Charlotte·2025

Jariel Cobb is a Committee Back for Charlotte. Jariel's 2025 season produced -10.1 total EPA across 44 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jariel Cobb's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing

190 Rush yards0 Rush TD51 Carries3.7 Yards/carry

Receiving

8 Receptions49 Rec yards0 Rec TD6.1 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

Efficiency0
Volume39
Explosiveness14
Consistency0
Receiving63

Player type

Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.32 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.69 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs South Florida (SP+ 12).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
4	vsRice	L17-28	-14.8	2	10	5.0	—	—	—	0.05
6	@South Florida	L26-54	11.6	4	47	11.8	1	10	0	0.69
8	vsTemple	L14-49	-5.1	9	21	2.3	1	6	0	-0.23
9	vsNorth Texas	L20-54	13.8	13	59	4.5	1	2	0	-0.14
11	@East Carolina	L22-48	8.0	10	1	0.1	3	12	0	-0.67
12	vsUTSA	L7-28	3.7	6	26	4.3	1	6	0	0.28
13	@Georgia	L3-35	24.1	7	26	3.7	1	13	0	-0.05

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

13.5%

Passing plays

4.7%

Rushing plays

25.8%

Standard downs

14.7%

Passing downs

11.5%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: -0.28
Passing downs: -0.11
Pass / Rush EPA: -0.18 / -0.24

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).