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Isaac Brown

#1Isaac Brown

Line value
2.4 pts

Isaac Brown is a Explosive Back for Louisville. Isaac's 2024 season ranks in the 40th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 186 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

Recruiting Profile· Class of 2024

3-Star · Developmental
Stars
247 composite
0.8869
National rank
#524
High school
Homestead
Hometown
Homestead, FL

Recruiting data from CFBD/247Sports composite. Sourced from the player's signing-class team — transfers show original school's class.

2024 Production

Rushing
1173 Rush yards11 Rush TD165 Carries7.1 Yards/carry
Receiving
30 Receptions152 Rec yards1 Rec TD5.1 Yards/rec
Returns
11 Kick returns193 KR yards0 KR TD2 Punt returns9 PR yards0 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs RB peers

EfficiencyVolumeExplosivenessConsistencyReceiving
Player type
Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)40th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency38th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.30 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 1.42 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Austin Peay.

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamYrPlaysWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Saquon BarkleyPenn State20162880.3403.997.9
Travis EtienneClemson20192130.4704.7100.1
Dalvin CookFlorida State20162920.3404.399.3
Saquon BarkleyPenn State20172400.4105.298.4
James FlandersTulsa20162660.3904.9103.7

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs Austin Peay: +1.42 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Jacksonville State: +0.05 EPA/play2Wk 4 vs Georgia Tech: -0.27 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Notre Dame: +0.16 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs SMU: +0.70 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Virginia: +0.26 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Miami: -0.11 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Boston College: +0.19 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Clemson: -0.00 EPA/play10Wk 12 vs Stanford: -0.26 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Pittsburgh: +0.37 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Kentucky: +0.22 EPA/play14Wk 1 vs Washington: -0.00 EPA/play1
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsAustin PeayW62-0512324.611901.42
2vsJacksonville StateW49-14-1.08435.4021200.05
4vsGeorgia TechW31-191.9372.30130-0.27
5@Notre DameL24-3123.913725.5042310.16
6vsSMUL27-3417.51011711.7054400.70
7@VirginiaW24-20-5.1201467.321100.26
8vsMiamiL45-5221.69566.216230-0.11
9@Boston CollegeW31-271.218854.7231700.19
10@ClemsonW33-2113.3201517.613-10-0.00
12@StanfordL35-38-8.2231.50-0.26
13vsPittsburghW37-94.913937.221900.37
14@KentuckyW41-145.5261786.8231200.22
1vsWashingtonW35-343.118995.50-0.00

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
23.1%
Passing plays
6.9%
Rushing plays
40.6%
Standard downs
26.9%
Passing downs
14.1%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.21
Passing downs
0.09
Pass / Rush EPA
0.03 / 0.23

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
2024 · 13 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.