Holton Ahlers is a 3-year Dual-Threat QB for East Carolina. Holton's 2019 season ranks in the 40th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 505 plays — a developing rate for the QB.
A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stetson Bennett | Georgia | 2022 | 509 | 0.635 | 12.4 | 323.0 |
| Jordan Travis | Florida State | 2021 | 690 | 0.476 | 10.1 | 328.3 |
| Kyle McCord | Syracuse | 2024 | 632 | 0.509 | 12.1 | 321.4 |
| Sam Hartman | Wake Forest | 2021 | 647 | 0.556 | 11.8 | 359.6 |
| Trace McSorley | Penn State | 2017 | 626 | 0.513 | 12.7 | 321.0 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | C/ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | QBR | Rush Yds | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @NC State | L6-34 | -6.3 | 22/39 | 168 | 0 | 1 | 23.2 | 11 | 0 | -0.01 |
| 2 | vsGardner-Webb | W48-9 | — | 18/29 | 195 | 1 | 1 | 88.3 | 78 | 2 | 0.31 |
| 3 | @Navy | L10-42 | 9.9 | 11/23 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
| Season | Team | Line value | WEPA/play | YoY Δ | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | East Carolina | 7.9 | 0.467 | — | 227.3 |
| 2021 | East Carolina | 7.1 | 0.467 | — | 238.5 |
| 2022 | East Carolina | 8.1 | 0.461 | -0.01 | 251.7 |
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.
C/ATT 27/48 · Pass Yds 308 · Pass TD 3 · INT 0
| 138 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 45.1 |
| 36 |
| 1 |
| 0.23 |
| 4 | vsWilliam & Mary | W19-7 | — | 20/34 | 210 | 1 | 0 | 37.7 | 60 | 0 | 0.11 |
| 5 | @Old Dominion | W24-21 | -24.4 | 8/21 | 202 | 2 | 2 | 14.5 | 1 | 0 | 0.24 |
| 6 | vsTemple | L17-27 | 3.2 | 19/39 | 229 | 2 | 0 | 38.4 | 26 | 0 | 0.18 |
| 8 | @UCF | L28-41 | 19.1 | 23/37 | 313 | 1 | 1 | 57.6 | 47 | 1 | 0.21 |
| 9 | vsSouth Florida | L20-45 | -9.8 | 18/28 | 217 | 0 | 1 | 26.5 | -3 | 0 | 0.25 |
| 10 | vsCincinnati | L43-46 | 9.1 | 32/52 | 535 | 4 | 1 | — | 21 | 1 | 0.51 |
| 11 | @SMU | L51-59 | 4.4 | 32/42 | 498 | 6 | 0 | — | 25 | 0 | 0.85 |
| 13 | @UConn | W31-24 | -24.4 | 34/50 | 374 | 1 | 2 | — | 22 | 1 | 0.39 |
| 14 | vsTulsa | L24-49 | -2.5 | 27/48 | 308 | 3 | 0 | — | 35 | 0 | 0.30 |