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Henry Parrish Jr.
Henry Parrish Jr.

#21Henry Parrish Jr.

RB·Ole Miss·2024

Henry Parrish Jr. is a Committee Back for Ole Miss. Henry's 2024 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 131 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Henry Parrish Jr.'s projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Rushing
693 Rush yards10 Rush TD131 Carries5.3 Yards/carry
Receiving
15 Receptions82 Rec yards0 Rec TD5.5 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume65
  • Explosiveness46
  • Consistency18
  • Receiving40
Player type
Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency18th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • ▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • ▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
  • ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.73 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • ▸Peak game: 1.03 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Middle Tennessee (SP+ -24).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+1.030−1.03Wk 1 vs Furman: +0.23 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Middle Tennessee: +1.03 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Wake Forest: +0.32 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Georgia Southern: +0.50 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Kentucky: +0.12 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs South Carolina: +0.02 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs LSU: -0.45 EPA/play7Wk 9 vs Oklahoma: -0.24 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Arkansas: -0.16 EPA/play10
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsFurmanW76-0—8405.0011200.23
2vsMiddle TennesseeW52-3-24.41416511.8411601.03
3@Wake ForestW40-6-5.7231486.4242100.32
4vsGeorgia SouthernW52-13-1.713896.81———0.50
5vsKentuckyL17-205.513624.8131800.12
6@South CarolinaW27-316.921813.91———0.02
7@LSUL26-2915.914423.00220-0.45
9vsOklahomaW26-149.515442.91230-0.24
10@ArkansasW63-3111.010222.202100-0.16

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
22.9%
Passing plays
5.0%
Rushing plays
40.2%
Standard downs
26.2%
Passing downs
14.3%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.04
Passing downs
0.56
Pass / Rush EPA
-0.10 / 0.16

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.