#3Frank Gore Jr.

RB·Southern Miss·2023 20223.6 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Frank Gore Jr. is a 2-year Pass-Catching Back for Southern Miss. Frank's 2023 season ranks in the 53th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 241 plays — a average rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Frank Gore Jr.'s projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Passing

2/16 Comp/Att18 Pass yards0 Pass TD0 INT12.5% Comp %

Rushing

1131 Rush yards10 Rush TD231 Carries4.9 Yards/carry

Receiving

27 Receptions221 Rec yards3 Rec TD8.2 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs RB peers

Efficiency53
Volume88
Explosiveness38
Consistency53
Receiving76

Player type

Pass-Catching Back

Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.

3rd-down backReceiving threatPass protection

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)53th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency53th %ile · average

Key findings

▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used RBs by play share.
▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.33 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.61 EPA/play in Wk 9 vs App State (SP+ 4).

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
James Flanders	Tulsa	2016	266	0.390	4.9	103.7
Hassan Haskins	Michigan	2021	280	0.380	4.8	106.4
Breece Hall	Iowa State	2020	301	0.340	4.5	102.3

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsAlcorn State	W40-14	—	6	29	4.8	1	3	7	1	0.47
2	@Florida State	L13-66	19.4	11	31	2.8	0	1	7	0	-0.16
3	vsTulane	L3-21	2.8	13	16	1.2	0	1	15	0	-0.39
4	@Arkansas State	L37-44	-6.3	20	132	6.6	1	1	1	0	0.28
5	vsTexas State	L36-50	-1.6	24	123	5.1	2	3	4	0	0.13
6	vsOld Dominion	L13-17	-10.1	29	66	2.3	0	1	16	0	-0.17
8	@South Alabama	L3-55	5.1	12	37	3.1	0	2	22	0	0.07
9	@App State	L38-48	3.8	24	247	10.3	2	1	13	0	0.61
10	vsUL Monroe	W24-7	-21.6	24	131	5.5	1	2	36	0	0.50
11	@Louisiana	W34-31	0.4	33	158	4.8	2	2	12	1	0.50
12	@Mississippi State	L20-41	0.5	22	66	3.0	0	5	29	1	0.09
13	vsTroy	L17-35	9.8	13	95	7.3	1	5	59	0	0.36

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

30.9%

Passing plays

12.9%

Rushing plays

46.5%

Standard downs

33.2%

Passing downs

26.7%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.11
Passing downs: 0.49
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.24 / 0.22

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2022 — 2023 · 25 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2022	Southern Miss	2.8	0.310	—	57.4
2023	Southern Miss	3.6	0.310	—	66.0

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.