#3Frank Gore Jr.

RB·Southern Miss·2023 20222.8 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Frank Gore Jr. is a 2-year Featured Back for Southern Miss. Frank's 2022 season ranks in the 40th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 214 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Frank Gore Jr.'s projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2022 Production

Passing

7/14 Comp/Att179 Pass yards3 Pass TD0 INT50.0% Comp %

Rushing

1382 Rush yards9 Rush TD228 Carries6.1 Yards/carry

Receiving

19 Receptions219 Rec yards0 Rec TD11.5 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2022 · vs RB peers

Efficiency40
Volume75
Explosiveness62
Consistency63
Receiving63

Player type

Featured Back

The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.

Primary ball carrierHigh volumeGoal-line threat

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)40th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency63th %ile · average

Key findings

▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.37 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.90 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Rice (SP+ -15).

NIL Market Tier· 2022

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
James Flanders	Tulsa	2016	266	0.390	4.9	103.7
Hassan Haskins	Michigan	2021	280	0.380	4.8	106.4
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2017	240	0.410	5.2	98.4

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsLiberty	L27-29	-1.5	32	178	5.6	2	—	—	—	0.20
2	@Miami	L7-30	-2.7	7	10	1.4	0	2	13	0	-0.32
3	vsNorthwestern State	W64-10	—	7	82	11.7	1	1	11	0	0.78
4	@Tulane	W27-24	12.4	16	44	2.8	0	3	14	0	-0.19
6	@Troy	L10-27	8.1	15	67	4.5	0	—	—	—	-0.11
7	vsArkansas State	W20-19	-13.0	19	96	5.1	1	2	24	0	0.34
8	@Texas State	W20-14	-11.5	20	91	4.6	0	1	21	0	0.21
9	vsLouisiana	W39-24	2.0	23	87	3.8	0	1	2	0	0.77
10	vsGeorgia State	L14-42	-3.3	11	87	7.9	1	—	—	—	0.12
11	@Coastal Carolina	L23-26	0.6	13	46	3.5	0	5	90	0	0.34
12	vsSouth Alabama	L20-27	10.8	20	66	3.3	1	2	18	0	0.18
13	@UL Monroe	W20-10	-15.7	24	199	8.3	1	2	26	0	0.61
1	vsRice	W38-24	-15.2	21	329	15.7	2	—	—	—	0.90

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

26.4%

Passing plays

9.1%

Rushing plays

41.5%

Standard downs

30.9%

Passing downs

17.5%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.22
Passing downs: 0.65
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.82 / 0.23

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2022 — 2023 · 25 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2022	Southern Miss	2.8	0.310	—	57.4
2023	Southern Miss	3.6	0.310	—	66.0

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.