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Davion Gause
Davion Gause

#7Davion Gause

RB·North Carolina·2025

Davion Gause is a Pass-Catching Back for North Carolina. Davion's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 74 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Davion Gause's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing
258 Rush yards3 Rush TD61 Carries4.2 Yards/carry
Receiving
16 Receptions132 Rec yards2 Rec TD8.3 Yards/rec
Returns
1 Kick returns8 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume32
  • Explosiveness24
  • Consistency0
  • Receiving92
Player type
Pass-Catching Back

Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.

3rd-down backReceiving threatPass protection
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • ▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • ▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
  • ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • ▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.41 from the first to second half of the season.
  • ▸Peak game: 1.30 EPA/play in Wk 9 vs Virginia (SP+ 11).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+1.300−1.30Wk 1 vs TCU: -0.78 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Charlotte: +0.49 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Richmond: -0.51 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs UCF: -0.37 EPA/play4Wk 6 vs Clemson: +0.22 EPA/play6Wk 8 vs California: +0.27 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Virginia: +1.30 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Syracuse: -0.10 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Stanford: +0.22 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Wake Forest: +0.33 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Duke: +0.14 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs NC State: -0.15 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsTCUL14-488.3571.40380-0.78
2@CharlotteW20-3-26.75306.01———0.49
3vsRichmondW41-6—561.20———-0.51
4@UCFL9-34-1.2210.502140-0.37
6vsClemsonL10-389.5————1600.22
8@CaliforniaL18-21-3.26315.210-200.27
9vsVirginiaL16-1711.133010.001911.30
10@SyracuseW27-10-13.115573.80———-0.10
11vsStanfordW20-15-11.811282.5035110.22
12@Wake ForestL12-285.7————32100.33
13vsDukeL25-326.68637.9111600.14
14@NC StateL19-424.8155.00290-0.15

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
11.3%
Passing plays
5.7%
Rushing plays
17.9%
Standard downs
11.7%
Passing downs
10.3%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
-0.10
Passing downs
0.57
Pass / Rush EPA
0.54 / -0.07

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.