#6Damien Martinez

RB·Miami·2024 20232.9 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Damien Martinez is a 2-year Explosive Back for Miami. Damien's 2024 season ranks in the 60th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 175 plays — a average rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Damien Martinez's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Rushing

1002 Rush yards10 Rush TD159 Carries6.3 Yards/carry

Receiving

17 Receptions204 Rec yards0 Rec TD12.0 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs RB peers

Efficiency60
Volume55
Explosiveness66
Consistency65
Receiving37

Player type

Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)60th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency65th %ile · average

Key findings

▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.14 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 1.03 EPA/play in Wk 9 vs Florida State (SP+ -3).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Travis Etienne	Clemson	2019	213	0.470	4.7	100.1
Clyde Edwards-Helaire	LSU	2019	216	0.490	5.0	105.8
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2017	240	0.410	5.2	98.4
Nick Wilson	Arizona	2014	250	0.410	5.2	102.5
James Flanders	Tulsa	2016	266	0.390	4.9	103.7

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	@Florida	W41-17	13.8	15	65	4.3	0	1	0	0	0.09
2	vsFlorida A&M	W56-9	—	11	91	8.3	1	1	15	0	0.59
3	vsBall State	W62-0	-19.8	3	3	1.0	0	—	—	—	-0.39
4	@South Florida	W50-15	-2.3	11	31	2.8	3	2	50	0	0.72
5	vsVirginia Tech	W38-34	10.0	14	60	4.3	0	2	14	0	-0.11
6	@California	W39-38	4.0	12	42	3.5	1	4	51	0	0.60
8	@Louisville	W52-45	13.6	12	89	7.4	1	—	—	—	0.37
9	vsFlorida State	W36-14	-3.2	15	148	9.9	2	1	21	0	1.03
10	vsDuke	W53-31	5.6	11	66	6.0	0	2	19	0	0.19
11	@Georgia Tech	L23-28	1.9	15	81	5.4	0	1	10	0	0.26
13	vsWake Forest	W42-14	-5.7	16	63	3.9	0	2	18	0	0.06
14	@Syracuse	L38-42	5.5	10	84	8.4	1	—	—	—	0.43
20	vsIowa State	L41-42	10.3	14	179	12.8	1	1	6	0	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

19.2%

Passing plays

3.9%

Rushing plays

37.9%

Standard downs

22.1%

Passing downs

11.0%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.36
Passing downs: 0.52
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.89 / 0.32

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2023 — 2024 · 25 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2023	Oregon State	2.0	0.240	—	47.5
2024	Miami	2.9	0.370	+0.13	57.7

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.