#16Damarea Crockett

RB·Missouri·20163.2 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Damarea Crockett is a Explosive Back for Missouri. Damarea's 2016 season ranks in the 73th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 138 plays — a average rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Damarea Crockett's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

Recruiting Profile· Class of 2016

★★★★★

3-Star · Developmental

Stars: ★★★★★
247 composite: 0.8692
National rank: #536
High school: Little Rock Christian Academy
Hometown: Little Rock, AR

Recruiting data from CFBD/247Sports composite. Sourced from the player's signing-class team — transfers show original school's class.

2016 Production

Rushing

1062 Rush yards10 Rush TD153 Carries6.9 Yards/carry

Receiving

5 Receptions14 Rec yards0 Rec TD2.8 Yards/rec

Returns

6 Kick returns106 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2016 · vs RB peers

Efficiency73
Volume50
Explosiveness78
Consistency0
Receiving12

Player type

Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)73th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.61 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.78 EPA/play in Wk 4 vs Delaware State.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Travis Etienne	Clemson	2019	213	0.470	4.7	100.1
Clyde Edwards-Helaire	LSU	2019	216	0.490	5.0	105.8
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2017	240	0.410	5.2	98.4
Nick Wilson	Arizona	2014	250	0.410	5.2	102.5
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2015	228	0.450	5.8	102.6

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	@West Virginia	L11-26	11.3	2	4	2.0	0	—	—	—	-2.52
2	vsEastern Michigan	W61-21	-8.2	12	68	5.7	1	1	9	0	0.46
3	vsGeorgia	L27-28	9.3	8	23	2.9	0	—	—	—	-0.15
4	vsDelaware State	W79-0	—	12	115	9.6	2	—	—	—	0.78
5	@LSU	L7-42	25.3	6	35	5.8	0	1	1	0	0.03
7	@Florida	L14-40	15.4	14	145	10.4	0	1	1	0	0.36
8	vsMiddle Tennessee	L45-51	-1.9	29	156	5.4	4	1	3	0	0.38
9	vsKentucky	L21-35	-2.6	13	55	4.2	0	—	—	—	0.00
10	@South Carolina	L21-31	-4.0	13	82	6.3	1	—	—	—	0.17
11	vsVanderbilt	W26-17	-1.2	20	154	7.7	1	—	—	—	0.54
12	@Tennessee	L37-63	16.3	24	225	9.4	1	1	0	0	0.55

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

17.6%

Passing plays

1.2%

Rushing plays

33.0%

Standard downs

21.0%

Passing downs

10.1%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.26
Passing downs: 0.32
Pass / Rush EPA: -0.48 / 0.29

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2016 · 11 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.