#1Dalen Cobb

WR·Georgia Southern·2025

Dalen Cobb is a Versatile WR for Georgia Southern. Dalen's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 94 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Dalen Cobb's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing

47 Rush yards1 Rush TD15 Carries3.1 Yards/carry

Receiving

57 Receptions506 Rec yards3 Rec TD8.9 Yards/rec

Returns

19 Kick returns502 KR yards1 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

Efficiency100
Volume37
Explosiveness13
Consistency79
Pass-Down100

Player type

Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency79th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.18 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.67 EPA/play in Wk 11 vs App State (SP+ -11).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Malik Dunner	Ball State	2017	76	0.290	0.4	22.0
Noah Short	Army	2024	69	0.300	0.5	20.7
Chris Tyree	Notre Dame	2020	76	0.310	0.6	23.6
Samajie Grant	Arizona	2016	62	0.250	0.3	15.5
Davis Bryson	Kennesaw State	2024	97	0.200	0.0	19.4

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
1	@Fresno State	L14-42	1.8	3	25	8.3	0	20	0.30
2	@USC	L20-59	16.9	6	59	9.8	1	17	0.28
3	vsJacksonville State	W41-34	-6.7	6	70	11.7	0	23	0.39
4	vsMaine	W45-17	—	4	49	12.3	1	25	0.54
5	@James Madison	L10-35	12.3	4	15	3.8	0	7	-0.21
7	vsSouthern Miss	L35-38	-7.1	4	40	10.0	0	21	0.21
8	vsGeorgia State	W41-24	-24.5	7	43	6.1	1	12	0.15
9	@Arkansas State	L24-34	-8.8	4	32	8.0	0	10	0.44
11	@App State	W25-23	-11.4	8	57	7.1	0	14	0.67
12	vsCoastal Carolina	W45-40	-15.1	6	81	13.5	0	43	0.48
13	vsOld Dominion	L10-45	5.9	—	—	—	—	—	—
20	vsApp State	W29-10	-11.4	5	35	7.0	0	13	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

13.1%

Passing plays

22.4%

Rushing plays

3.8%

Standard downs

12.4%

Passing downs

14.8%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.11
Passing downs: 0.61
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.35 / 0.07

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).