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Cade McConnell
Cade McConnell

#11Cade McConnell

QB·UTEP·2024

Cade McConnell is a Clutch Passer for UTEP. Cade's 2024 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 71 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.46
    Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.51
    Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Cade McConnell's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Passing
40/71 Comp/Att540 Pass yards4 Pass TD3 INT56.3% Comp %
Rushing
-2 Rush yards0 Rush TD14 Carries-0.1 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume93
  • Dual-Threat0
  • Consistency67
  • Clutch100
Player type
Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency67th %ile · average
Key findings
  • ▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • ▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • ▸Peak game: 0.52 EPA/play in Wk 7 vs Western Kentucky (SP+ -2).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.520−0.52Wk 1 vs Nebraska: +0.08 EPA/play1Wk 4 vs Colorado State: +0.04 EPA/play4Wk 6 vs Sam Houston: +0.08 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Western Kentucky: +0.52 EPA/play7
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
1@NebraskaL7-405.53/7200118.31200.08
4@Colorado StateL17-27-5.719/292202026.0-1100.04
6vsSam HoustonL21-41-6.915/282041114.8-200.08
7@Western KentuckyL17-44-2.23/7961134.5-100.52

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
32.7%
Passing plays
53.4%
Rushing plays
8.9%
Standard downs
32.4%
Passing downs
33.0%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.01
Passing downs
0.33
Pass / Rush EPA
0.23 / -0.56

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.