#2Brady Davidson

QB·Northern Illinois·2025

Brady Davidson is a Dual-Threat QB for Northern Illinois. Brady's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 72 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Brady Davidson's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing

40/87 Comp/Att384 Pass yards3 Pass TD3 INT46.0% Comp %

Rushing

-23 Rush yards0 Rush TD12 Carries-1.9 Yards/carry

Punting

2 Punts94 Punt yards47.0 Yards/punt48 Long1 Inside 20

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume58
Dual-Threat100
Consistency0
Clutch99

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.53 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 1.03 EPA/play in Wk 12 vs Massachusetts (SP+ -37).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
4	@Mississippi State	L10-38	4.1	1/2	7	0	0	6.3	-2	0	-0.07
5	vsSan Diego State	L3-6	6.7	1/2	8	0	1	0.0	—	—	-0.55
6	vsMiami (OH)	L14-25	-3.4	13/28	106	1	1	11.6	-19	0	-0.06
7	@Eastern Michigan	L10-16	-14.7	11/26	94	0	1	3.7	2	0	-0.23
8	@Ohio	L21-48	-4.0	0/1	0	0	0	0.0	—	—	-0.10
11	@Toledo	L3-42	6.0	6/16	54	0	0	10.8	-17	0	-0.33
12	@Massachusetts	W45-3	-36.6	3/4	42	1	0	84.8	—	—	1.03
13	vsWestern Michigan	L19-35	-1.4	5/8	73	1	0	85.7	13	0	0.61

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

20.4%

Passing plays

48.7%

Rushing plays

1.8%

Standard downs

18.3%

Passing downs

24.3%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: -0.18
Passing downs: 0.12
Pass / Rush EPA: -0.10 / 0.70

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).