#89AJ Szymanski

TE·Maryland·2025

AJ Szymanski is a Red Zone Weapon TE for Maryland.

What projects, and what doesn't · TEs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.42
Beats guessing the TE average by 9%. n=2,225 TE seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.04
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=2,016 TE seasons
Total EPA (value)0.46
Beats guessing the TE average by 13%. n=2,016 TE seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So AJ Szymanski's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Receiving

5 Receptions32 Rec yards1 Rec TD6.4 Yards/rec

Returns

1 Kick returns11 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs TE peers

Efficiency0
Volume6
Explosiveness0
Consistency0
Pass-Down17

Player type

Red Zone Weapon TE

Goes from good to great inside the 20 — high TD conversion on limited looks makes this receiver a scoring machine.

Red zone targetHigh TD rateSize/catch radius advantage

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs TE peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.11 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 1.10 EPA/play in Wk 10 vs Indiana (SP+ 32).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · TE · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
A.J. Doyle	Massachusetts	2013	53	0.040	0.0	2.1
Robby Preckel	Northwestern	2025	42	0.060	0.1	2.5
Blake Bell	Oklahoma	2013	63	0.070	0.1	4.4
Kaden Feagin	Illinois	2025	115	0.040	0.0	4.6
Jaheim Bell	South Carolina	2022	73	0.110	0.0	8.0

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
2	vsNorthern Illinois	W20-9	-16.7	1	2	2.0	0	2	-0.31
3	vsTowson	W44-17	—	1	5	5.0	0	5	0.08
6	vsWashington	L20-24	18.4	1	2	2.0	1	2	0.04
8	@UCLA	L17-20	-8.7	1	2	2.0	0	2	-0.62
10	vsIndiana	L10-55	32.4	1	21	21.0	0	21	1.10
12	@Illinois	L6-24	12.9	—	—	—	—	—	-0.33

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

2.0%

Passing plays

3.2%

Rushing plays

0.0%

Standard downs

2.2%

Passing downs

1.7%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: -0.25
Passing downs: -0.45
Pass / Rush EPA: -0.32 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).