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Aiden Flora

#21Aiden Flora

Aiden Flora is a Pass-Catching Back for Iowa State.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Aiden Flora's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing
58 Rush yards1 Rush TD4 Carries14.5 Yards/carry
Receiving
2 Receptions25 Rec yards0 Rec TD12.5 Yards/rec
Returns
8 Kick returns171 KR yards0 KR TD8 Punt returns209 PR yards1 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume8
  • Explosiveness100
  • Consistency42
  • Receiving100
Player type
Pass-Catching Back

Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.

3rd-down backReceiving threatPass protection
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency42th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among RBs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Peak game: 3.28 EPA/play in Wk 13 vs Kansas (SP+ 4).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+3.2803.28Wk 7 vs Colorado: +0.75 EPA/play7Wk 9 vs BYU: -0.71 EPA/play9Wk 13 vs Kansas: +3.28 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Oklahoma State: -0.16 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
0vsKansas StateW24-217.0
1vsSouth DakotaW55-7
6@CincinnatiL30-384.5
7@ColoradoL17-24-8.322500.75
9vsBYUL27-4115.9-0.71
10vsArizona StateL19-243.9
11@TCUW20-178.3
13vsKansasW38-144.125125.513.28
14@Oklahoma StateW20-13-15.1273.50-0.16

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
2.9%
Passing plays
3.5%
Rushing plays
2.6%
Standard downs
1.5%
Passing downs
6.4%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.17
Passing downs
1.16
Pass / Rush EPA
0.02 / 1.56

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.
Aiden Flora Stats, EPA & Player Profile — Iowa State · Gridpex