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Fraser Minten vs Dylan Guenther

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Dylan Guenther is ahead on 11 of 13 measures. The widest gap is expected goals per game: Dylan Guenther sits in the 95th percentile, Fraser Minten the 56th.

MeasureMintenGuenther
Scoring · NHL
Points25
Goals13
Assists12
Ice time per game15:3615:43
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.1456 pct0.4695 pct
Shot attempts per game2.869 pct5.093 pct
Goals above expected+0.477 pct+1.698 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share55.5%60 pct59.0%68 pct
Chances for per 602.3248 pct3.1079 pct
Chances against per 601.8669 pct2.1654 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.1656 pct+0.4080 pct
Creates per 60+0.1356 pct+0.4290 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0349 pct−0.0237 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →