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Tyrel Bauer vs Mattias Samuelsson

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Mattias Samuelsson is ahead on 7 of 10 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Mattias Samuelsson sits in the 92nd percentile, Tyrel Bauer the 65th.

MeasureBauerSamuelsson
Scoring · NHL
Points02
Goals01
Assists01
Ice time per game7:1721:16
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.003 pct0.0527 pct
Shot attempts per game0.57 pct1.532 pct
Goals above expected0.065 pct+0.992 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share—42.3%30 pct
Chances for per 60—1.8630 pct
Chances against per 60—2.5438 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60−0.0234 pct−0.3010 pct
Creates per 60−0.0431 pct−0.267 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0246 pct−0.0434 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →