Mavrik Bourque vs Nathan MacKinnon
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Change first player
Predators skaters
- Steven Stamkos
- Adam Edstrom
- Matthew Wood
- Mavrik Bourque
- Ryan O'Reilly
- Filip Forsberg
- Roman Josi
- Nick Perbix
- Nils Hoglander
- Jonathan Marchessault
- Ross Colton
- Reid Schaefer
- Brady Skjei
- William Trudeau
- Ryan Ufko
- Alexander Kerfoot
- Jack Ahcan
- Nicolas Hague
- Adam Wilsby
- Jack Drury
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Change second player
Avalanche skaters
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Martin Necas
- Artturi Lehkonen
- Nicolas Roy
- Jaden Schwartz
- Cale Makar
- Nazem Kadri
- T.J. Hughes
- Fedor Svechkov
- Sam Malinski
- Brock Nelson
- Parker Kelly
- Brent Burns
- Gabriel Landeskog
- Josh Manson
- Noah Juulsen
- Devon Toews
- Brett Kulak
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Nathan MacKinnon is ahead on 12 of 13 measures. The widest gap is chances for per 60: Nathan MacKinnon sits in the 89th percentile, Mavrik Bourque the 5th.
| Measure | Bourque | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 0 | 5 |
| Goals | 0 | 2 |
| Assists | 0 | 3 |
| Ice time per game | 17:45 | 18:00 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.1558 pct | 0.6498 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 3.072 pct | 7.599 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.325 pct | +0.785 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 33.1%13 pct | 63.4%81 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 1.105 pct | 3.4889 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 2.2252 pct | 2.0162 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.1960 pct | +1.2199 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.1153 pct | +1.2599 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.0864 pct | −0.0335 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →




































