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Samuel Girard vs Casey Mittelstadt

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Samuel Girard is ahead on 12 of 13 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Samuel Girard sits in the 75th percentile, Casey Mittelstadt the 10th.

MeasureGirardMittelstadt
Scoring · NHL
Points30
Goals10
Assists20
Ice time per game19:4814:41
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.2272 pct0.1559 pct
Shot attempts per game3.377 pct1.841 pct
Goals above expected+0.475 pct−0.610 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share63.5%82 pct54.1%57 pct
Chances for per 603.0978 pct3.1179 pct
Chances against per 601.7872 pct2.6435 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.1150 pct+0.0645 pct
Creates per 60+0.1458 pct+0.1051 pct
Prevents per 60−0.0337 pct−0.0434 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →