Skip to content

Matt Roy vs Ryan O'Reilly

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Ryan O'Reilly is ahead on 10 of 12 measures. The widest gap is creates per 60: Ryan O'Reilly sits in the 85th percentile, Matt Roy the 23rd.

MeasureRoyO'Reilly
Scoring · NHL
Points01
Goals00
Assists01
Ice time per game18:2620:42
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.0944 pct0.1454 pct
Shot attempts per game0.57 pct2.560 pct
Goals above expected−0.236 pct−0.327 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share41.7%29 pct51.2%49 pct
Chances for per 601.7324 pct2.0940 pct
Chances against per 602.4243 pct2.0062 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.1151 pct+0.5690 pct
Creates per 60−0.1023 pct+0.3685 pct
Prevents per 60+0.2185 pct+0.2085 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →