Nikolaj Ehlers vs Auston Matthews
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Hurricanes · LNikolaj EhlersChange first player
Hurricanes skaters
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Sebastian Aho
- Jackson Blake
- Logan Stankoven
- Nikolaj Ehlers
- William Carrier
- Jordan Staal
- Shayne Gostisbehere
- Taylor Hall
- Jordan Martinook
- Jaccob Slavin
- Sean Walker
- Eric Robinson
- Mark Jankowski
- K'Andre Miller
- Jalen Chatfield
- Charles Alexis Legault
- Mike Reilly
- Jesperi Kotkaniemi
- Nicolas Deslauriers
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Maple Leafs · CAuston MatthewsChange second player
Maple Leafs skaters
- William Nylander
- Kirill Marchenko
- John Tavares
- Auston Matthews
- Jack Roslovic
- Colton Sissons
- Easton Cowan
- Darren Raddysh
- Nick Paul
- Gavin McKenna
- Teddy Blueger
- Oliver Ekman-Larsson
- Morgan Rielly
- Jake McCabe
- Brandon Duhaime
- Bo Groulx
- Chris Tanev
- Troy Stecher
- Zack MacEwen
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Auston Matthews is ahead on 10 of 12 measures. The widest gap is chances for per 60: Auston Matthews sits in the 91st percentile, Nikolaj Ehlers the 31st.
| Measure | Ehlers | Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 1 | 1 |
| Goals | 0 | 1 |
| Assists | 1 | 0 |
| Ice time per game | 17:21 | 21:29 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.3083 pct | 0.3589 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 2.767 pct | 4.390 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.95 pct | −0.155 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 52.6%53 pct | 62.8%80 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 1.8731 pct | 3.5891 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.6976 pct | 2.1256 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.5489 pct | +1.0999 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.4992 pct | +0.8799 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.0656 pct | +0.2287 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →