Matt Grzelcyk vs Casey Mittelstadt
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Sabres · DMatt GrzelcykChange first player
Sabres skaters
- Tage Thompson
- Jack Quinn
- Noah Ostlund
- Konsta Helenius
- Rasmus Dahlin
- Zach Benson
- Jiri Kulich
- Ryan McLeod
- Josh Norris
- Josh Doan
- Peyton Krebs
- Mattias Samuelsson
- Olen Zellweger
- Sam Carrick
- Louis Crevier
- Owen Power
- Beck Malenstyn
- Matt Grzelcyk
- Zach Metsa
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Bruins · CCasey MittelstadtChange second player
Bruins skaters
- Morgan Geekie
- David Pastrnak
- JJ Peterka
- Pavel Zacha
- James Hagens
- Elias Lindholm
- Casey Mittelstadt
- Fraser Minten
- Tanner Jeannot
- Mason Lohrei
- Nikita Zadorov
- Sean Kuraly
- Marat Khusnutdinov
- Jonathan Aspirot
- Hampus Lindholm
- Connor Clifton
- Matthew Poitras
- Mark Kastelic
- Will Borgen
- Frederic Brunet
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Casey Mittelstadt is ahead on 5 of 7 measures. The widest gap is expected goals per game: Casey Mittelstadt sits in the 59th percentile, Matt Grzelcyk the 1st.
| Measure | Grzelcyk | Mittelstadt |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 0 | 0 |
| Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Assists | 0 | 0 |
| Ice time per game | 14:27 | 14:41 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.001 pct | 0.1559 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 0.01 pct | 1.841 pct |
| Goals above expected | 0.067 pct | −0.610 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | — | 54.1%57 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | — | 3.1179 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | — | 2.6435 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | −0.339 pct | +0.0645 pct |
| Creates per 60 | −0.324 pct | +0.1051 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | −0.0140 pct | −0.0434 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →