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Mike Matheson vs Trevor Zegras

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Mike Matheson is ahead on 7 of 10 measures. The widest gap is creates per 60: Trevor Zegras sits in the 89th percentile, Mike Matheson the 15th.

MeasureMathesonZegras
Scoring · NHL
Points11
Goals00
Assists11
Ice time per game25:4618:42
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.1250 pct0.2578 pct
Shot attempts per game2.560 pct1.841 pct
Goals above expected−0.230 pct−1.04 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share54.6%58 pct13.1%1 pct
Chances for per 602.5858 pct0.721 pct
Chances against per 602.1455 pct4.742 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60−0.1223 pct+0.1050 pct
Creates per 60−0.1715 pct+0.4189 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0553 pct−0.314 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →