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Jonathan Marchessault vs Alex DeBrincat

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Alex DeBrincat is ahead on 10 of 12 measures. The widest gap is net impact per 60: Alex DeBrincat sits in the 94th percentile, Jonathan Marchessault the 21st.

MeasureMarchessaultDeBrincat
Scoring · NHL
Points01
Goals00
Assists01
Ice time per game16:5121:30
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.0737 pct0.2577 pct
Shot attempts per game3.580 pct4.088 pct
Goals above expected−0.140 pct−0.514 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share30.9%10 pct33.9%14 pct
Chances for per 600.913 pct1.2210 pct
Chances against per 602.0361 pct2.3845 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60−0.1421 pct+0.6694 pct
Creates per 60+0.0949 pct+0.6397 pct
Prevents per 60−0.239 pct+0.0451 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →