St. Louis Blues at Carolina Hurricanes
TV CARNHL, STLNHL·Lenovo Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
39%Blues
to win
61%
Hurricanes
- Expected goals
- 2.7–3.3
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors CAR.503vs.542win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors CAR.049vs.1625v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors STL-.058vs-.096GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors CAR.114vs.8605v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors CARCAR at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersBlues
Jordan Binnington-0.15 GSAx/6067% to start425 career GP
Joel Hofer+0.12 GSAx/6033% to start115 career GP
Hurricanes
Pyotr Kochetkov-0.04 GSAx/6053% to start135 career GP
Brandon Bussi+0.05 GSAx/6028% to start43 career GP
Cayden Primeau-0.45 GSAx/6020% to start58 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: STL Jim Montgomery · CAR Rod Brind'Amour
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 2.8024th
- Goals for / game
- 2nd3.55
- 3.1019th
- Goals against / game
- 5th2.88
- 17.6%26th
- Power play
- 4th24.9%
- 76.7%25th
- Penalty kill
- 11th80.5%
- 49.4%19th
- Faceoffs
- 16th50.1%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).