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Blue Jackets at Hurricanes
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Carolina Hurricanes

FinalTV FDSNSO, FDSNOH·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 5-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Logan Stankoven's goal at 8:52 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals were close — CBJ 1.6, CAR 1.7; shots on goal were CBJ 10, CAR 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 16 of 21 (.762), 3.3 goals below expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 9 of 10 (.900), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Logan Stankoven (2 G), 2. Sebastian Aho (2 A), 3. Taylor Hall (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    L. Stankoven2 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Aho2 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    T. Hall2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ021404110
CARCAR391616521

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    K. Miller (27), T. Hall (26)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:27
  2. CAR
    T. Hall (27), J. Blake (25)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    8:52
  3. CAR
    S. Jarvis (33), S. Aho (51)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-3
    12:50

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    snapxG 0.26win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-3
    11:24
  2. CAR
    snapxG 0.01win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-4
    11:37

3rd period

  1. CAR
    snapxG 0.11win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-5
    6:44

Penalties

CBJ 6 PIM·CAR 8 PIM

1st

  • 11:31CARK'Andre Miller · Holdingdrawn by Danton Heinen2 min

2nd

  • 3:14CBJDenton Mateychuk · Interferencedrawn by Taylor Hall2 min

3rd

  • 4:34CARShayne Gostisbehere · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 5:35CBJIvan Provorov · Slashingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min
  • 7:34CARShayne Gostisbehere · Slashingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min
  • 11:22CBJDanton Heinen · Roughingdrawn by K'Andre Miller2 min
  • 11:22CARK'Andre Miller · Roughingdrawn by Danton Heinen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalCBJ goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Logan Stankoven, 1st 8:52 — CAR 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.18A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.16A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.11L. Stankoven · Goal · xG 0.08L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.08S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.08L. Stankoven · Goal · xG 0.07L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.07S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.07A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.06M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.06A. Nikishin · Goal · xG 0.06W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.06S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.05S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.05J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.05S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.04S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.04J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.04S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.04S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.03S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.03J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.02L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.01J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · Goal · xG 0.01J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR5 G · 1.7 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsCAR
1.61 G
All situations
5 G1.7
1.51 G
Even strength
3 G1.3
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 62 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ48%52%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.62 – 1.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsCAR
10
Shots on goal
21
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/3
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
18
Hits
19
14
Blocked shots
19
17
Giveaways
19
8
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD000-100.09110—22:12
15D. FabbroD000-100.01120—20:33
5D. MateychukD101020.38022—20:29
9I. ProvorovD000-220.18012—20:08
3C. CoyleC000-100.002003618:40
44E. GudbransonD000020.02220—18:22
6E. ZamulaD000-120.03010—16:19
86K. MarchenkoR000-210.29000—16:15
19A. FantilliC000-200.071103016:06
21I. LundestromC011+100.012305015:34
4C. SillingerC000-100.00000015:06
38B. JennerC011-110.312005015:04
83C. GarlandR000-200.00100—14:30
43D. HeinenL000000.00212—13:37
91K. JohnsonC000-100.06000013:22
65L. Del Bel BelluzC000000.00100013:18
11M. WoodL000+100.01200—12:45
23S. MonahanC000-200.151004412:38
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90E. Merzlikins(L)21165.7621.74-3.2659:53

Season series

CAR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).