Carolina Hurricanes at Columbus Blue Jackets
Recap
written from the game dataThe Carolina Hurricanes beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 5-2. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikolaj Ehlers's goal at 12:42 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 48% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.1 to 3.0; shots on goal were CAR 33, CBJ 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Brandon Bussi stopped 23 of 25 (.920), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Jet Greaves stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nikolaj Ehlers (1 G, 2 A), 2. Kirill Marchenko (1 G, 1 A), 3. Andrei Svechnikov (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★N. Ehlers1 G, 2 A

- ★★K. Marchenko1 G, 1 A

- ★★★A. Svechnikov1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-013:29
2-016:12
2nd period
2-115:14
3rd period
2-22:07
3-212:42
4-213:55
5-219:13
Penalties
1st
- 8:48
Andrei Svechnikov · Roughingdrawn by Boone Jenner2 min
- 12:19
Dante Fabbro · Slashingdrawn by Alexander Nikishin2 min
- 14:29
Kent Johnson · High stickingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
2nd
- 0:07
Mason Marchment · High stickingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
- 10:48
Logan Stankoven · Hookingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min
3rd
- 3:31
Miles Wood · High stickingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
- 12:42
served by M. Marchment · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- 19:01
Jackson Blake · Trippingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Nikolaj Ehlers, 3rd 12:42 — 48% → 84%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 4.14 G
- All situations
- 2 G3.0
- 2.21 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.4
- 1.13 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.6
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.26 – 2.92
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 33
- Shots on goal
- 25
- 61%
- Faceoffs
- 39%
- 3/5
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 18
- Hits
- 23
- 10
- Blocked shots
- 15
- 16
- Giveaways
- 13
- 5
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
