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Blue Jackets at Hurricanes
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Columbus Blue Jackets
1
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-1. The Blue Jackets scored first; the Hurricanes answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Eric Robinson's goal at 7:53 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 52% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.5 to 2.5; shots on goal were CBJ 24, CAR 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Jet Greaves stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Brandon Bussi stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Staal (1 G), 2. Brandon Bussi (23 saves, .958), 3. Seth Jarvis (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Staal1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    B. Bussi23 saves, .958
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Jarvis1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ1608010124
CARCAR01011339432

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    D. Voronkov(11)PPG
    S. Monahan (12), K. Marchenko (15)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-0
    12:39

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Jarvis(17)
    A. Svechnikov (9)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:42

3rd period

  1. CAR
    E. Robinson(6)
    T. Hall (9), J. Nystrom (4)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +30 ptsVideo
    1-2
    7:53
  2. CAR
    J. Staal(9)PPG
    A. Svechnikov (10), S. Gostisbehere (19)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-3
    13:38
  3. CAR
    J. Martinook(4)EN
    K. Miller (11), S. Walker (6)
    snapxG 0.50win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-4
    18:45

Penalties

CBJ 8 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:28CBJLuca Del Bel Belluz · Trippingdrawn by Mark Jankowski2 min
  • 12:06CARTaylor Hall · Trippingdrawn by Isac Lundeström2 min
  • 14:54CBJMiles Wood · Roughingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min

3rd

  • 5:11CARJordan Martinook · Trippingdrawn by Adam Fantilli2 min
  • 9:33CBJCole Sillinger · Slashingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min
  • 13:18CBJKirill Marchenko · High stickingdrawn by K'Andre Miller2 min
  • 18:38CARJackson Blake · Hookingdrawn by Denton Mateychuk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalCBJ goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Eric Robinson, 3rd 7:53 — CAR 52% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Martinook · Goal · xG 0.50A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.22J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.21N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.20E. Robinson · Goal · xG 0.18S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.17J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.16S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.16S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.15E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.12J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.12S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.11J. Staal · Goal · xG 0.10J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.10S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.10M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.09S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.09N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.09N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.09J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.09T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.08E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.08S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.08J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.07J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.07S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.06S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.06W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.06S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.06L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.06J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.05A. Nikishin · Missed · xG 0.05A. Nikishin · Missed · xG 0.05J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.04A. Nikishin · Missed · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.03W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.03S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.03S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.03M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.02J. Nystrom · Missed · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.02W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.02M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01A. Nikishin · Missed · xG 0.01S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.00E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR4 G · 4.5 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsCAR
2.51 G
All situations
3 G4.5
2.00 G
Even strength
2 G2.9
0.51 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ29%71%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.52 – 3.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsCAR
24
Shots on goal
32
39%
Faceoffs
61%
1/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
14
Hits
19
18
Blocked shots
16
11
Giveaways
11
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000-110.02010—26:50
8Z. WerenskiD000-250.32030—24:08
5D. MateychukD000020.01110—21:55
19A. FantilliC000-120.492004220:21
78D. SeversonD000010.06010—19:25
86K. MarchenkoR011-120.31122—18:52
10D. VoronkovL101-130.17210—18:10
23S. MonahanC011-210.121103517:32
3C. CoyleC000-100.391003316:30
4C. SillingerC000-120.1611210014:49
15D. FabbroD000-110.01120—14:22
11M. WoodL000010.01212—14:03
21I. LundestromC000000.000005013:18
91K. JohnsonC000-110.07010013:08
16B. GaunceC000-100.02110011:44
7B. SmithD000-100.00100—11:35
59E. ChinakhovR000-110.26000—10:26
65L. Del Bel BelluzC000-110.110224409:09
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
73J. Greaves(L)31283.9033.96+0.9657:23

Season series

CAR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).