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Hurricanes at Blue Jackets
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Columbus Blue Jackets

FinalTV FDSNSO, FDSNOH·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Carolina Hurricanes 5-1. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Danton Heinen's goal at 17:29 of the second period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 74% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 2.8 to 2.2; shots on goal were CAR 29, CBJ 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Brandon Bussi stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 2.2 goals below expected; Jet Greaves stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Charlie Coyle (1 G, 3 A), 2. Mathieu Olivier (1 G), 3. Jet Greaves (28 saves, .966).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    C. Coyle1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    M. Olivier1 G
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    J. Greaves28 saves, .966

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR06113010129
CBJCBJ21121118530

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.11win prob +6 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:25
  2. CBJ
    C. Coyle(17)PPG
    wristxG 0.17win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-2
    19:05

2nd period

  1. CAR
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-2
    14:05
  2. CBJ
    wristxG 0.13win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    17:29
  3. CBJ
    snapxG 0.02win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-4
    18:03

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.27win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-5
    7:38

Penalties

CAR 17 PIM·CBJ 9 PIM

1st

  • 4:23CARSeth Jarvis · High sticking double minordrawn by Zach Werenski4 min
  • 17:45CARJackson Blake · Trippingdrawn by Dante Fabbro2 min

2nd

  • 9:38CBJMathieu Olivier · Fightingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers5 min
  • 9:38CARNicolas Deslauriers · Fightingdrawn by Mathieu Olivier5 min
  • 13:48CARSebastian Aho · Cross checkingdrawn by Dante Fabbro2 min
  • 13:48CBJDante Fabbro · Roughingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min

3rd

  • 2:02CARSeth Jarvis · High sticking double minordrawn by Conor Garland4 min
  • 12:50CBJZach Werenski · Slashingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalCAR goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Danton Heinen, 2nd 17:29 — CBJ 74% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Olivier · Goal · xG 0.27C. Coyle · Goal · xG 0.17C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.16M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.15D. Heinen · Goal · xG 0.13C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.13C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.12M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.12M. Marchment · Goal · xG 0.11C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.10K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.10C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.09E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.09C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.09I. Lundeström · Missed · xG 0.08C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.07C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.06A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.06M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.06C. Sillinger · Missed · xG 0.05D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.05K. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.05B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.04A. Fantilli · Missed · xG 0.04I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.04I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.03M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.03B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.03D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Mateychuk · Goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.01I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.01B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.01C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.01K. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.00Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ5 G · 2.8 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsCBJ
2.21 G
All situations
5 G2.8
1.71 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.40 G
Power play
2 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR39%61%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.17 – 2.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsCBJ
29
Shots on goal
30
35%
Faceoffs
65%
0/1
Power play
2/5
17
Penalty minutes
9
29
Hits
11
18
Blocked shots
23
18
Giveaways
17
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
19K. MillerD000-110.02220—23:25
26S. WalkerD000-110.00240—20:51
74J. SlavinD000040.06010—19:56
21A. NikishinD011010.01220—19:18
5J. ChatfieldD000-130.22010—18:44
20S. AhoC000-210.040022917:02
24S. JarvisR000-110.25028—16:39
6M. ReillyD000-120.03000—16:09
77M. JankowskiL000010.212204515:01
11J. StaalC000-110.124003914:59
27N. EhlersL011020.09000—14:46
53J. BlakeR000030.19122—14:41
37A. SvechnikovR101020.273005014:23
28W. CarrierL000010.15300—13:34
22L. StankovenC000010.222003113:29
48J. MartinookL000-220.10100—13:24
44N. DeslauriersL000000.02605—12:31
71T. HallL000-120.19120—10:50
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32B. Bussi(L)30255.8332.76-2.2459:57

Season series

CAR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).