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Vancouver Canucks at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NHLN, NBCSP·Xfinity Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Vancouver Canucks 5-2. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikita Grebenkin's goal at 13:13 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 4.8 to 2.2; shots on goal were VAN 25, PHI 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 34 of 38 (.895); Dan Vladar stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Nikita Grebenkin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Rodrigo Abols (2 A), 3. Carl Grundstrom (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    N. Grebenkin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    R. Abols2 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    C. Grundstrom1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN0501228225
PHIPHI014114411539

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +20 ptsVideo
    0-1
    13:13

3rd period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.11win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    5:58
  2. PHI
    batxG 0.53win prob +4 ptsVideo
    0-3
    7:49
  3. VAN
    wristxG 0.36win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-3
    13:05
  4. PHI
    C. York (13)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-4
    15:35
  5. PHI
    wristxG 0.51Video
    1-5
    18:49
  6. VAN
    snapxG 0.17Video
    2-5
    19:42

Penalties

VAN 2 PIM·PHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 10:52PHIChristian Dvorak · Holding the stickdrawn by Zeev Buium2 min
  • 13:51VANTyler Myers · Holdingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min
  • 19:11PHIDenver Barkey · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalVAN goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Nikita Grebenkin, 2nd 13:13 — PHI 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Dvorak · Goal · xG 0.53M. Michkov · Goal · xG 0.51O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.30N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.26M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.22C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.18O. Tippett · Goal · xG 0.18O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.17T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.17S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.16O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.16D. Barkey · On goal · xG 0.13T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.12N. Grebenkin · Goal · xG 0.11O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.11O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.11O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.11C. Grundstrom · Goal · xG 0.11S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.11D. Barkey · On goal · xG 0.09M. Michkov · Missed · xG 0.08T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.07C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.07C. York · On goal · xG 0.07N. Grebenkin · On goal · xG 0.06N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.06C. York · On goal · xG 0.05R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.05S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.05S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.04B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.04C. York · Missed · xG 0.04M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.04B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.03B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.03J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.03O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.03M. Michkov · Missed · xG 0.02N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.01R. Abols · On goal · xG 0.01O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.01O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.01M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.01C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.01C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.01C. York · On goal · xG 0.01O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI5 G · 4.8 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsPHI
2.22 G
All situations
4 G4.8
1.92 G
Even strength
4 G3.7
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN19%81%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 4.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsPHI
25
Shots on goal
39
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
33
Hits
14
18
Blocked shots
12
13
Giveaways
12
3
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD000-420.03120—22:09
24Z. BuiumD011-100.01010—21:13
29M. PetterssonD000-210.06210—21:02
93M. RossiC000-110.081005320:51
57T. MyersD011+210.01122—20:28
6B. BoeserR000-120.5411010019:28
91E. KaneL000-240.2221010018:59
8C. GarlandR011-120.06230—18:34
25E. PetterssonD011020.05310—16:37
44K. SherwoodL000-130.101120—16:17
5T. WillanderD000-100.02110—15:38
18D. O'ConnorL101+110.32300—15:06
64D. KampfC000-110.010005314:38
74J. DeBruskL000020.1811010012:52
92L. OhgrenL000-110.01100—12:35
63M. SassonC101-120.540204312:11
94L. KarlssonC000-200.001005010:24
54A. RätyC000000.002008910:14
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(L)38344.8954.28+0.2858:44

Season series

PHI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).