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Ducks at Blue Jackets
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Columbus Blue Jackets

Final/OTTV FDSNOH, Victory+·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-3 in overtime, Adam Fantilli scoring at 3:32. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Fantilli's goal at 3:32 of overtime, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — ANA 2.3, CBJ 2.4; shots on goal were ANA 27, CBJ 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Ville Husso stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.6 goals below expected; Jet Greaves stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Zach Werenski (2 G, 1 A), 2. Adam Fantilli (1 G), 3. Boone Jenner (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    Z. Werenski2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    A. Fantilli1 G
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    B. Jenner1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ANAANA010291800327
CBJCBJ162100913428

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.11win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:21

2nd period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.16win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    3:35
  2. CBJ
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:59
  3. CBJ
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    4:18
  4. ANA
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    5:29

3rd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.04win prob +40 ptsVideo
    3-3
    16:44

Overtime

  1. CBJ
    snapxG 0.16win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-4
    3:32

Penalties

ANA 4 PIM·CBJ 8 PIM

1st

  • 18:11CBJZach Werenski · Holdingdrawn by Alex Killorn2 min

2nd

  • 7:43CBJMiles Wood · Holdingdrawn by Olen Zellweger2 min
  • 16:48CBJDante Fabbro · Hookingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min

3rd

  • 0:36CBJEgor Chinakhov · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Ville Husso2 min
  • 4:24ANAAlex Killorn · Holdingdrawn by Denton Mateychuk2 min
  • 10:08ANAAlex Killorn · Holdingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalANA goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Adam Fantilli, OT 3:32 — CBJ 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Jenner · Goal · xG 0.24C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.20Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.19A. Fantilli · Goal · xG 0.16E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Werenski · Goal · xG 0.11S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.10A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.10A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.08C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.08A. Fantilli · Missed · xG 0.07C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.07C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Werenski · Goal · xG 0.06D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.05E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.05A. Fantilli · Missed · xG 0.05B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.05D. Mateychuk · Missed · xG 0.05C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.04I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.04A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.04D. Mateychuk · On goal · xG 0.04K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.03I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.03D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.02A. Fantilli · Missed · xG 0.02C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.02D. Mateychuk · On goal · xG 0.02B. Gaunce · Missed · xG 0.01I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.01D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mateychuk · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ4 G · 2.4 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsCBJ
2.33 G
All situations
4 G2.4
1.73 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA49%51%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.27 – 2.34

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsCBJ
27
Shots on goal
28
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
20
Hits
20
21
Blocked shots
19
19
Giveaways
17
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2J. LaCombeD101+110.12100—31:23
65J. TroubaD000-120.04260—25:18
19T. TerryR000040.33000—22:45
64M. GranlundC112+230.312103321:16
91L. CarlssonC000-200.090103620:26
61C. GauthierL000-110.2310010019:30
51O. ZellwegerD000020.04010—17:51
20C. KreiderL000-100.00100—15:37
74I. MooreD011+300.00030—15:28
77F. VatranoR011020.01030—15:18
25R. PoehlingC022+240.302305614:31
45B. SenneckeR000-200.00100—14:07
23M. McTavishC000-230.3322010012:36
7R. GudasD000-200.02310—12:28
16R. StromeC101+210.240004012:06
98P. MintyukovD000-200.00000—12:01
44R. JohnstonL000+110.11500—12:00
17A. KillornL000-130.11004—11:57
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33V. Husso(O)28244.8572.35-1.6563:30

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).