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Senators at Maple Leafs
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
▸4
Toronto Maple Leafs
0
FinalTV ESPN, CBC·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-0. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Cozens's goal at 8:24 of the third period, which took the Senators' chances from 75% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.4 to 2.7; shots on goal were OTT 19, TOR 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 29 of 29 (1.000), 2.7 goals saved above expected; Anthony Stolarz stopped 15 of 17 (.882). Three stars: 1. Linus Ullmark (29 saves, 1.000), 2. Chris Tanev, 3. Tim Stützle (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    L. Ullmark29 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    TOR
    C. Tanev
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    T. Stützle1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT041837419
TORTOR01206011029

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. OTT
    T. Chabot(1)
    B. Tkachuk (2), T. Stützle (2)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:46

3rd period

  1. OTT
    D. Cozens(1)SHG
    A. Gaudette (2)
    snapxG 0.29win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-0
    8:24
  2. OTT
    T. Stützle(2)EN
    C. Giroux (3), B. Tkachuk (3)
    wristxG 0.84win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-0
    17:09
  3. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(3)EN
    T. Stützle (3)
    wristxG 0.53Video
    4-0
    19:13

Penalties

OTT 8 PIM·TOR 6 PIM

1st

  • 14:54OTTRidly Greig · Cross checkingdrawn by Matthew Knies2 min
  • 16:03TORMatthew Knies · Slashingdrawn by Artem Zub2 min
  • 18:25TORMorgan Rielly · Cross checkingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min

2nd

  • 6:00OTTThomas Chabot · High stickingdrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min

3rd

  • 6:58OTTRidly Greig · Holdingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
  • 19:52OTTTyler Kleven · Roughingdrawn by Simon Benoit2 min
  • 19:52TORSimon Benoit · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Kleven2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalOTT goalFinal: TOR 0%

Biggest swing: Dylan Cozens, 3rd 8:24 — OTT 75% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.22M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.22S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.21M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.20J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.13M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.13M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.13J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.13A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.11P. Holmberg · Missed · xG 0.10M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.10A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.09A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.09J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.09A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.08M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.08B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.06W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.05J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.04A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.04C. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.04S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.04J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.03M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.03S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.03B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.02J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.02M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.02B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.02P. Holmberg · Missed · xG 0.01J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.01S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.01S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.01W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.01M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.01C. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.01M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.01C. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.00
TOR0 G · 2.7 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsTOR
3.42 G
All situations
0 G2.7
1.21 G
Even strength
0 G1.6
0.20 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT31%69%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.69 – 2.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsTOR
19
Shots on goal
29
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
25
Hits
40
18
Blocked shots
17
10
Giveaways
8
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
85J. SandersonD000+100.38120—26:27
2A. ZubD000+200.00180—23:46
12S. PintoC000010.020104621:38
71R. GreigC000020.09204018:58
72T. ChabotD101+310.03002—18:49
3N. JensenD000+210.01000—18:15
22M. AmadioR000000.0020010017:44
18T. StützleC123+320.905007517:07
28C. GirouxR011+310.272004417:04
43T. KlevenD000000.00032—16:54
24D. CozensC101+110.382006415:32
7B. TkachukL123+350.94000—14:59
19D. BathersonR000000.00110—14:55
33N. MatinpaloD000000.00120—13:19
57D. PerronL000010.1930010012:38
20F. ZetterlundL000010.04200—09:38
81A. GaudetteR011+120.062001708:28
21N. CousinsC000010.12110007:41
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(W)292901.0002.71+2.7160:00

Series

TOR leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).