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Vancouver Canucks at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV KUSA, ALT·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Colorado Avalanche 4-1. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kiefer Sherwood's goal at 7:51 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 4.3 to 2.8; shots on goal were VAN 30, COL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kiefer Sherwood (1 G, 1 A), 2. Kevin Lankinen (31 saves, .969), 3. Dakota Joshua (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    K. Sherwood1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    K. Lankinen31 saves, .969
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    D. Joshua1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN0621529430
COLCOL07110015132

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. VAN
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:50
  2. VAN
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    7:51
  3. COL
    C. Coyle (15), C. Makar (62)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    16:36

3rd period

  1. VAN
    snapxG 0.38win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    6:14
  2. VAN
    wristxG 0.93Video
    4-1
    18:02

Penalties

VAN 9 PIM·COL 9 PIM

1st

  • 4:22COLMartin Necas · High stickingdrawn by Kiefer Sherwood2 min
  • 8:23COLSamuel Girard · Cross checkingdrawn by Nils Hoglander2 min

2nd

  • 17:31VANDrew O'Connor · High stickingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min

3rd

  • 9:34COLLogan O'Connor · Fightingdrawn by Elias Pettersson5 min
  • 9:34VANElias Pettersson · Fightingdrawn by Logan O'Connor5 min
  • 18:49VANAatu Räty · Trippingdrawn by Keaton Middleton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalVAN goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Kiefer Sherwood, 2nd 7:51 — VAN 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.20J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.16M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.16M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.15S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.14V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.14L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.13A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.13A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.12L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.12V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.10C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.09M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.08B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.08C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.08D. Toews · Goal · xG 0.08A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kiviranta · Missed · xG 0.07V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.06J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.06C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.05B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.05D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.05B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.04S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.02S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.01L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kiviranta · Missed · xG 0.01K. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.01K. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01K. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.01C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.01C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.00E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.00P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.00
COL1 G · 2.8 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsCOL
4.33 G
All situations
1 G2.8
1.93 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN37%63%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.08 – 2.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsCOL
30
Shots on goal
32
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/2
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
9
14
Hits
16
11
Blocked shots
19
12
Giveaways
21
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD011+430.05400—24:15
43Q. HughesD000040.18000—24:08
29M. PetterssonD011+200.00030—22:59
24P. SuterC000+140.570005020:55
27D. ForbortD011+120.03210—16:38
21N. HoglanderL101+110.99010—16:10
8C. GarlandR011+120.80020—16:09
44K. SherwoodL112+320.20000—16:07
53T. BluegerC000030.030006715:36
90V. ManciniD000-100.00000—15:33
6B. BoeserR000-110.06100—15:09
18D. O'ConnorL000010.570025014:47
74J. DeBruskL101020.08110—14:44
25E. PetterssonD000000.00115—14:35
94L. KarlssonC000000.06110013:24
54A. RätyC011+220.084026712:40
81D. JoshuaC112+220.4201010012:18
63M. SassonC000010.130004410:42
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen(W)32311.9692.82+1.8260:00

Season series

VAN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).