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Red Wings at Blue Jackets
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
3
Columbus Blue Jackets
▸5
FinalTV ESPN, ESPN+·Ohio Stadium

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-3. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Justin Danforth's goal at 17:43 of the third period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 52% to 95%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 4.4 to 3.2; shots on goal were DET 46, CBJ 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 16 of 20 (.800), 1.6 goals below expected; Elvis Merzlikins stopped 43 of 46 (.935). Three stars: 1. Elvis Merzlikins (43 saves, .935), 2. Alex DeBrincat (2 G), 3. Justin Danforth (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    E. Merzlikins43 saves, .935
  2. ★★
    DET
    A. DeBrincat2 G
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    J. Danforth1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET014111221346
CBJCBJ063728521

Scoring

8 goals

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    D. Mateychuk(3)
    B. Jenner (6), J. van Riemsdyk (15)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +17 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:31
  2. DET
    A. DeBrincat(28)PPG
    P. Kane (22), M. Seider (31)
    snapxG 0.27win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:06
  3. CBJ
    D. Voronkov(20)PPG
    K. Johnson (22), Z. Werenski (45)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-2
    17:23
  4. CBJ
    M. Olivier(12)
    J. Danforth (8)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    17:55

3rd period

  1. DET
    P. Kane(15)
    S. Edvinsson (17), A. Johansson (6)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    3:34
  2. DET
    A. DeBrincat(29)
    E. Gustafsson (15), P. Kane (23)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +40 ptsVideo
    3-3
    16:36
  3. CBJ
    J. Danforth(6)
    Z. Aston-Reese (10), I. Provorov (21)
    snapxG 0.67win prob +43 ptsVideo
    3-4
    17:43
  4. CBJ
    A. Fantilli(18)EN
    Z. Werenski (46), B. Jenner (7)
    wristxG 0.90win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-5
    18:52

Penalties

DET 2 PIM·CBJ 4 PIM

2nd

  • 12:18CBJDante Fabbro · Interferencedrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min
  • 17:15DETMoritz Seider · Trippingdrawn by Kirill Marchenko2 min

3rd

  • 5:27CBJKirill Marchenko · High stickingdrawn by Albert Johansson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalDET goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Justin Danforth, 3rd 17:43 — CBJ 52% → 95%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Fantilli · Goal · xG 0.90J. Danforth · Goal · xG 0.67Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.63B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.53D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.24A. Fantilli · Missed · xG 0.23D. Voronkov · Goal · xG 0.18A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.14J. Danforth · On goal · xG 0.12J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.09D. Mateychuk · Goal · xG 0.08J. Danforth · On goal · xG 0.06K. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.06M. Olivier · Goal · xG 0.05K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.05D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.05K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.04A. Fantilli · Missed · xG 0.04D. Voronkov · Missed · xG 0.04J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.02K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.02A. Fantilli · Missed · xG 0.01J. LaBate · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.01A. Fantilli · Missed · xG 0.00M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ5 G · 4.4 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsCBJ
3.23 G
All situations
4 G4.4
2.82 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET65%35%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.16 – 2.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsCBJ
46
Shots on goal
21
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/2
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
31
Hits
25
14
Blocked shots
22
17
Giveaways
20
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD011-120.04322—25:06
71D. LarkinC000-150.285005021:58
23L. RaymondL000-150.64100—21:29
93A. DeBrincatR202-160.60000—21:11
8B. ChiarotD000030.03310—20:53
77S. EdvinssonD011030.03000—20:36
88P. KaneR123-150.34000—20:16
92M. KasperC000010.046105019:37
20A. JohanssonD011-110.08210—19:19
37J. CompherL000040.291304119:06
56E. GustafssonD011010.06210—15:57
11V. TarasenkoR000-230.44110—15:44
3J. HollD000-120.04010—14:14
90J. VelenoC000-120.084304513:23
48J. BerggrenR000010.15000—10:51
85E. SoderblomL000-100.032005009:30
14T. MotteC000020.0700010006:06
36C. FischerR000000.01100—05:09
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Talbot(L)20164.8002.38-1.6259:27

Season series

CBJ leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).