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Utah Hockey Club at Senators
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Ottawa Senators

FinalTV Utah16, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Utah Mammoth 3-1. The Senators scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Claude Giroux's goal at 7:33 of the third period, which took the Senators' chances from 52% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.3 to 2.0; shots on goal were UTA 35, OTT 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 24 of 27 (.889); Leevi Meriläinen stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Claude Giroux (1 G, 1 A), 2. Leevi Meriläinen (34 saves, .971), 3. Clayton Keller (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    C. Giroux1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    L. Meriläinen34 saves, .971
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    C. Keller1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA013111011135
OTTOTT0918210327

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. OTT
    R. Greig(7)SHG
    S. Pinto (9), A. Zub (3)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +20 ptsVideo
    0-1
    12:16
  2. UTA
    wristxG 0.02win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:52

3rd period

  1. OTT
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +29 ptsVideo
    1-2
    7:33
  2. OTT
    wristxG 0.41win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-3
    13:22

Penalties

UTA 6 PIM·OTT 6 PIM

1st

  • 17:45OTTMichael Amadio · Trippingdrawn by Michael Kesselring2 min

2nd

  • 5:28UTAMichael Kesselring · Trippingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 8:16OTTThomas Chabot · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 8:52UTALogan Cooley · Trippingdrawn by Josh Norris2 min
  • 11:50OTTJosh Norris · Slashingdrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min

3rd

  • 8:59UTAJuuso Välimäki · Trippingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalUTA goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Claude Giroux, 3rd 7:33 — OTT 52% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Ostapchuk · Missed · xG 0.45S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.43B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.41B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.16T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.16C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.14T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.13J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.11D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.10R. Greig · Goal · xG 0.10D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.10M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.09S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.09B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.08R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.08D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.07D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.06T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.05M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.04J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.04D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.04D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.03M. Highmore · Missed · xG 0.03J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.02M. Highmore · On goal · xG 0.01M. Highmore · On goal · xG 0.01M. Highmore · On goal · xG 0.01A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.01A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.01A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT3 G · 3.3 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsOTT
2.01 G
All situations
3 G3.3
1.51 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA34%66%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.95 – 2.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsOTT
35
Shots on goal
27
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
18
8
Blocked shots
19
23
Giveaways
14
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28I. ColeD000+110.01310—23:16
6J. MarinoD011-220.18000—22:05
7M. KesselringD000-100.01002—20:39
92L. CooleyC000060.450022220:11
9C. KellerR101050.16010—19:52
2O. MaattaD011-130.06020—18:54
8N. SchmaltzC000030.190104018:16
67L. CrouseL000-100.12100—16:03
4J. VälimäkiD000010.00012—15:47
17N. BjugstadC000-110.001001715:33
82K. StenlundC000000.000006715:22
27B. HaytonC000-130.360009115:14
22J. McBainC000-130.123006714:59
57N. DeSimoneD000010.03000—13:30
91J. DoanR000-200.001005012:43
63M. MaccelliL000-130.22000—12:35
15A. KerfootC000010.012204312:34
38L. O'BrienC000020.07700008:51
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(L)27243.8892.88-0.1257:36

Season series

OTT leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).