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Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings

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Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Los Angeles Kings 5-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Morton's goal at 6:05 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 76% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.0 to 2.5; shots on goal were CGY 29, LAK 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 2.0 goals saved above expected; David Rittich stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nazem Kadri (2 G), 2. Zayne Parekh (1 G), 3. Taylor Ward (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    N. Kadri2 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    Z. Parekh1 G
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    T. Ward1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY01216411529
LAKLAK01005116131

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.26win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:15

3rd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.16win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    6:05
  2. CGY
    slapxG 0.12win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-0
    7:28
  3. CGY
    snapxG 0.15win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-0
    8:24
  4. CGY
    snapxG 0.04Video
    5-0
    11:35
  5. LAK
    T. Ward(1)PPG
    J. Spence (24), B. Clarke (28)
    wristxG 0.57Video
    5-1
    13:49

Penalties

CGY 6 PIM·LAK 4 PIM

1st

  • 9:39LAKSamuel Helenius · Hookingdrawn by Matt Coronato2 min

2nd

  • 8:32CGYJoel Farabee · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
  • 15:18CGYZayne Parekh · Trippingdrawn by Mikey Anderson2 min

3rd

  • 3:16LAKQuinton Byfield · High stickingdrawn by Zayne Parekh2 min
  • 12:45CGYHunter Brzustewicz · Trippingdrawn by Jeff Malott2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalCGY goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Sam Morton, 3rd 6:05 — CGY 76% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Ward · Goal · xG 0.57T. Ward · On goal · xG 0.17T. Ward · On goal · xG 0.16A. Kuzmenko · On goal · xG 0.14A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.12Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.12T. Ward · On goal · xG 0.11K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.11A. Turcotte · Missed · xG 0.11K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.10Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.10K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.08K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.08T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.07J. Malott · Missed · xG 0.07K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.06A. Turcotte · On goal · xG 0.06K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.06D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.06Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.06B. Clarke · On goal · xG 0.05K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.05A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.04A. Turcotte · On goal · xG 0.04A. Kuzmenko · Missed · xG 0.04W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.03J. Spence · Missed · xG 0.03W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.03M. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.02K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Turcotte · Missed · xG 0.02A. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.02B. Clarke · On goal · xG 0.02K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.02A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.01M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Clarke · Missed · xG 0.01A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.01T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.00
LAK1 G · 3.0 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsLAK
2.55 G
All situations
1 G3.0
2.55 G
Even strength
0 G1.8
0.10 G
Power play
1 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY44%56%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.50 – 2.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsLAK
29
Shots on goal
31
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
19
11
Blocked shots
7
13
Giveaways
13
3
Takeaways
0

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
52M. WeegarD000020.02040—22:28
89Z. ParekhD101+320.18112—20:31
62D. MiromanovD000000.00000—20:02
7K. BahlD000+310.00200—19:30
48H. BrzustewiczD000+220.02102—18:23
11M. BacklundC112+230.240005018:02
86J. FarabeeL000040.58302—17:05
20B. ColemanL000+220.06010—16:47
91N. KadriC202+240.620004416:32
94B. PachalD011+200.00020—15:29
17Y. SharangovichC011010.08010015:21
36A. SunievL000+210.12000—14:48
16M. FrostC000030.111006314:34
27M. CoronatoR011+210.1000010014:31
15D. HuntL022+210.0911010014:30
70R. LombergL011+110.02000—13:19
45S. MortonC101+110.204105712:25
43A. KlapkaR011+100.10200—10:39
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80D. Vladar(W)31301.9682.96+1.9660:00

Season series

CGY leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).