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Blue Jackets at Flyers
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Philadelphia Flyers

Final/OTTV FDSNOH, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 5-4 in overtime, Owen Tippett scoring at 3:30. The Flyers came back from two goals down. The Blue Jackets led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Owen Tippett's goal at 3:30 of overtime, which took the Flyers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 2.9 to 2.1; shots on goal were CBJ 25, PHI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 2.1 goals below expected; Samuel Ersson stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Owen Tippett (1 G, 3 A), 2. Morgan Frost (2 G), 3. Dmitri Voronkov (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    O. Tippett1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    M. Frost2 G
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    D. Voronkov2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CBJCBJ18172901425
PHIPHI0100641212530

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    15:47

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.11win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    7:05

3rd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:53
  2. PHI
    snapxG 0.23win prob +30 ptsVideo
    2-2
    8:48
  3. CBJ
    wristxG 0.13win prob +33 ptsVideo
    3-2
    10:01
  4. PHI
    snapxG 0.10win prob +34 ptsVideo
    3-3
    11:51
  5. CBJ
    snapxG 0.01win prob +42 ptsVideo
    4-3
    15:49
  6. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +46 ptsVideo
    4-4
    18:16

Overtime

  1. PHI
    backhandxG 0.27win prob +49 ptsVideo
    4-5
    3:30

Penalties

CBJ 8 PIM·PHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 2:15PHIMorgan Frost · Interferencedrawn by Damon Severson2 min
  • 7:26CBJZachary Aston-Reese · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Poehling2 min

2nd

  • 1:55CBJZachary Aston-Reese · Hookingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min

3rd

  • 3:29CBJSean Kuraly · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 12:41PHIGarnet Hathaway · Roughingdrawn by Mathieu Olivier2 min
  • 12:41CBJMathieu Olivier · Roughingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalCBJ goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Owen Tippett, OT 3:30 — PHI 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Tippett · Goal · xG 0.27N. Cates · Goal · xG 0.24O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.18S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.17C. York · On goal · xG 0.16T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.14M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.13N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.12O. Lycksell · On goal · xG 0.10O. Lycksell · Missed · xG 0.10M. Frost · Goal · xG 0.10T. Foerster · Goal · xG 0.09T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.09T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.09S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.08R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.06B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.06C. York · On goal · xG 0.05R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.05M. Frost · Goal · xG 0.05S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.05T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.05M. Michkov · Missed · xG 0.04R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.04M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.04O. Lycksell · On goal · xG 0.03O. Lycksell · Missed · xG 0.03M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.03R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.03O. Lycksell · On goal · xG 0.03B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.03C. York · On goal · xG 0.03E. Zamula · Missed · xG 0.02J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.02N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.02E. Zamula · On goal · xG 0.02N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.02N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.02J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.01O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.00S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI5 G · 2.9 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsPHI
2.14 G
All situations
5 G2.9
1.94 G
Even strength
5 G2.6
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ35%65%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.10 – 2.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsPHI
25
Shots on goal
30
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/1
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
4
19
Hits
14
24
Blocked shots
11
11
Giveaways
8
1
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
78D. SeversonD000-200.01030—28:41
8Z. WerenskiD000-420.04040—27:32
9I. ProvorovD011+200.01100—26:57
23S. MonahanC000+110.010106421:22
4C. SillingerC000-140.331104720:08
86K. MarchenkoR101+160.48030—18:48
91K. JohnsonC011-120.32000017:57
24M. OlivierR101020.28512—16:51
10D. VoronkovL022+110.170105015:57
2J. ChristiansenD101+310.01010—15:24
19A. FantilliC000020.072003813:55
3J. JohnsonD000000.00110—13:43
27Z. Aston-ReeseL000020.24204—12:06
7S. KuralyC011-100.003425011:27
82M. PyyhtiaL101-120.17010—10:45
22J. HarrisD000000.00020—10:34
67J. MalatestaL000-100.0041010010:12
21J. van RiemsdykL000000.00000—10:11
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90E. Merzlikins(O)30255.8332.93-2.0763:30

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).