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Blue Jackets at Kraken
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Seattle Kraken

FinalTV FDSNOH, KHN/Prime·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 5-2. The Kraken came back from two goals down. The Kraken led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brandon Tanev's goal at 7:13 of the second period, which took the Kraken's chances from 35% to 53%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 3.3 to 2.9; shots on goal were CBJ 40, SEA 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.7 goals below expected; Joey Daccord stopped 38 of 40 (.950), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Tye Kartye (1 G), 2. Brandon Tanev (1 G), 3. Will Borgen (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    T. Kartye1 G
  2. ★★
    SEA
    B. Tanev1 G
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    W. Borgen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ21808014240
SEASEA0642017533

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.32win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    13:46
  2. CBJ
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    14:08

2nd period

  1. SEA
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    2:50
  2. SEA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.12win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    7:13
  3. SEA
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-3
    7:23
  4. SEA
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-4
    13:34

3rd period

  1. SEA
    wristxG 0.55Video
    2-5
    18:42

Penalties

CBJ 6 PIM·SEA 2 PIM

2nd

  • 7:17CBJKevin Labanc · Roughingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min
  • 15:57SEAserved by O. Bjorkstrand · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 17:38CBJIvan Provorov · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min

3rd

  • 2:53CBJDante Fabbro · Roughingdrawn by Tye Kartye2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalCBJ goalFinal: SEA 100%

Biggest swing: Brandon Tanev, 2nd 7:13 — SEA 35% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. McCann · Goal · xG 0.55J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.20T. Kartye · Goal · xG 0.16O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.15J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.14E. Tolvanen · Goal · xG 0.13B. Tanev · Goal · xG 0.12A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.11J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.11J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.09O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.09J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.09S. Wright · Missed · xG 0.09J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.08O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.06A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.06W. Borgen · Goal · xG 0.05J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.05J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.04B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.04O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.04O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.04T. Kartye · Missed · xG 0.04B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.02E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.01R. Evans · Missed · xG 0.01R. Evans · Missed · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.00C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.00J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.00E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA5 G · 2.9 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsSEA
3.32 G
All situations
4 G2.9
3.02 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 105 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ68%32%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.27 – 2.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsSEA
40
Shots on goal
33
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
25
Hits
14
13
Blocked shots
16
15
Giveaways
18
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD000-120.19120—28:05
9I. ProvorovD000-220.08012—21:02
78D. SeversonD000-220.08010—19:55
15D. FabbroD000010.04102—19:17
23S. MonahanC000-130.990004718:45
86K. MarchenkoR000-140.2200010018:33
19A. FantilliC000-120.193103816:12
3J. JohnsonD000+100.06010—16:07
59E. ChinakhovR000-120.27210—15:49
10D. VoronkovL000-100.06000—15:02
4C. SillingerC000040.120007514:59
17J. DanforthR000-350.370006014:28
2J. ChristiansenD000+160.11100—14:15
82M. PyyhtiaL000-320.01020—13:54
24M. OlivierR000-300.07610—13:48
27Z. Aston-ReeseL112+230.0662010013:22
7S. KuralyC112+220.414106011:49
62K. LabancR022+200.00102—11:01
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90E. Merzlikins(L)32284.8752.26-1.7459:31

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).