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Stars at Avalanche
NHL

Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸4
Colorado Avalanche
1
FinalTV TNT, truTV·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Colorado Avalanche 4-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Seguin's goal at 15:13 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals were close — DAL 3.4, COL 3.4; shots on goal were DAL 23, COL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 2.4 goals saved above expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 19 of 21 (.905). Three stars: 1. Tyler Seguin (2 G), 2. Jake Oettinger (28 saves, .966), 3. Logan Stankoven (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    T. Seguin2 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Oettinger28 saves, .966
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    L. Stankoven2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL1518210423
COLCOL01111107129

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    L. Stankoven(1)
    M. Heiskanen (6)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    18:39

2nd period

  1. COL
    M. Rantanen(3)
    N. MacKinnon (9), D. Toews (5)
    backhandxG 0.62win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:24
  2. DAL
    T. Seguin(2)
    E. Dadonov (2), S. Steel (2)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-1
    15:13

3rd period

  1. DAL
    T. Seguin(3)EN
    M. Duchene (3), J. Benn (5)
    wristxG 0.47win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-1
    18:23
  2. DAL
    L. Stankoven(2)EN
    J. Robertson (5), R. Hintz (4)
    wristxG 0.75Video
    4-1
    19:32

Penalties

DAL 10 PIM·COL 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:30COLMiles Wood · Roughingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min
  • 5:30DALRyan Suter · Roughingdrawn by Ross Colton2 min
  • 7:54DALserved by M. Marchment · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 13:37DALNils Lundkvist · Hookingdrawn by Ross Colton2 min
  • 19:43DALMatt Duchene · Trippingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 19:43DALMason Marchment · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Josh Manson2 min
  • 19:43COLJosh Manson · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min

2nd

  • 7:23COLBrandon Duhaime · Interferencedrawn by Craig Smith2 min

3rd

  • 20:00COLAndrew Cogliano · Cross checkingdrawn by Nils Lundkvist2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalDAL goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Tyler Seguin, 2nd 15:13 — DAL 47% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.62D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.48N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.15J. Kiviranta · Missed · xG 0.15M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.14B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.14B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.13N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.13C. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.11V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.08Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.08V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.08C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.07D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.06A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.05D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.05V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.04J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.03R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.03S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kiviranta · Missed · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.01S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.00C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.00C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.00C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.00
COL1 G · 3.4 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsCOL
3.42 G
All situations
1 G3.4
1.52 G
Even strength
1 G3.2
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL29%71%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.11 – 3.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsCOL
23
Shots on goal
29
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/1
Power play
0/3
10
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
34
24
Blocked shots
14
5
Giveaways
12
11
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD011+110.01000—25:02
23E. LindellD000+200.00010—25:00
3C. TanevD000+210.01450—24:11
55T. HarleyD000030.18030—22:41
53W. JohnstonC000020.060205521:45
20R. SuterD000000.01132—18:02
18S. SteelC011020.291106715:48
14J. BennL011+110.191106715:46
24R. HintzC011+200.040205515:29
21J. RobertsonL011+210.05110—15:18
16J. PavelskiC000010.01010014:58
91T. SeguinC202+250.861001414:17
95M. DucheneC011+100.303026713:15
27M. MarchmentL000010.05512—12:42
11L. StankovenC202+230.970205012:27
15C. SmithC000-100.00200011:04
63E. DadonovL011010.31110—10:33
5N. LundkvistD000+110.01102—03:42
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(W)29281.9663.40+2.4060:00

Series

DAL leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).